TRENDING

Home » Crypto » Bitcoin » Page 39
Category:

Bitcoin

Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a contender for the US presidency, expressed concern about the government’s intentions to introduce the central bank digital currency (CBDC). He reaffirmed that the CBDCs are intended to be tools of power and control for the government and added that he was concerned about the attacks on Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency ecosystem.

Transparency of Transaction
The presidential candidate claimed that Bitcoin might function as a “freedom currency” that is not regulated by any one country. He said that the right to free speech is vital, but so is the right to free commerce. Speaking to Bitcoin Magazine, he predicted that the CBDCs would eventually be used as justification for the abolition of fiat money. He claimed that because the government can program the CBDCs, they will be managed in a way that prevents people from spending as they choose.

“I am opposed to CBDCs. They’ll probably end up being used as a tool of control.

Kennedy Jr. made headlines in July 2023 when it was revealed that he had purchased 2 Bitcoin for each of his 7 children. He is well known for supporting cryptocurrencies as instruments that may help the poor escape poverty and for suggesting a number of regulatory steps to promote the usage of Bitcoin.

a risk to the US dollar

According to Kennedy Jr., given the BRICS Group’s rapid expansion, the future of the US dollar is doubtful. The member nations of the group do not have their own reserve currency, but they do permit transactions to be settled in local currencies, which jeopardizes the dollar’s position as the world reserve currency, according to the presidential contender.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

In an unexpected revelation, the Federal Reserve highlights that Bitcoin is proving to be a better hedge against inflation than the US dollar, albeit unintentionally. The St. Louis Fed, in a blog post originally published in June 2022 and recently updated, explores the comparative purchasing power of Bitcoin and the US dollar using a rather unconventional benchmark – buying eggs.

Bitcoin vs. US Dollar: The Curious Case of “Eggflation”

While Bitcoin enthusiasts typically have more ambitious uses for their holdings than buying eggs, the Federal Reserve’s blog post delves into this unique comparison. The anonymous author of the post tracked the price of a dozen eggs in Bitcoin (measured in satoshis) and in US dollars since January 2021.

Average price of a dozen eggs in satoshis chart (screenshot). Source: St. Louis Fed

The findings reveal significant price fluctuations in Bitcoin, ranging from 2829 to 6086 satoshis, far more volatile than the USD price of eggs. Additionally, the blog notes the need to factor in Bitcoin transaction fees, which can vary from a reasonable $2 to occasionally spiking above $50.

Bitcoin’s Performance Over Time

Despite the inherent volatility, the data charts demonstrate that since reaching their respective peaks in December 2022, the number of satoshis required to purchase a dozen eggs has decreased more significantly compared to the equivalent USD price. As of August 2023, Bitcoin holders need 70% fewer satoshis for the purchase, while USD holders require 58% less.

Average price of a dozen eggs in USD chart (screenshot). Source: St. Louis Fed

However, a broader perspective reveals that the cost of eggs has increased for both currencies since the beginning of 2021, with a 73% increase for USD and a 39% increase for Bitcoin. Yet, this specific timeframe doesn’t offer a comprehensive view of Bitcoin’s performance.

Long-Term Perspective on Bitcoin

A more insightful assessment comes when examining Bitcoin’s performance over the years. The price of eggs remains substantially lower than during Bitcoin’s last pre-halving year in 2019, with the 2023 “Eggflation” appearing as a minor blip.

In contrast, the US dollar has witnessed significant price increases in terms of egg purchases, with the average price per dozen barely exceeding $1.20 in mid-2019, representing a 40% increase compared to today.

Concerns of a Looming Recession

The article also touches upon the growing attention to the US dollar this month, as the US dollar index (DXY) approaches one-year highs. Some analysts suggest that actions by foreign states may attempt to address the currency imbalances they are facing, while the US economy exhibits warning signs of a possible recession in 2024, as indicated by the Fed’s data, with odds nearing 60% as of September.

In addition, bond yields are rising in what is referred to as “bear steepening,” further highlighting economic uncertainties on the horizon.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Renowned macro-economist Henrik Zeberg remains highly optimistic about Bitcoin (BTC) and other risk assets, foreseeing a potentially significant bullish move. Zeberg’s confidence is rooted in the BTC/SPX Ratio, an indicator that evaluates Bitcoin’s performance relative to the S&P 500 index (SPX).

The Significance of the BTC/SPX Ratio

Despite recent market volatility and concerns about the sustainability of cryptocurrencies, Zeberg believes that the BTC/SPX Ratio is a compelling indicator pointing to the early stages of a Bitcoin uptrend. According to his analysis, the recent downward trend in September may present strategic accumulation opportunities for traders.

The BTC/SPX Ratio is a valuable metric that assesses how Bitcoin is performing in comparison to the stock market, specifically the S&P 500 index. When this ratio is on the rise, as it currently is, it signifies that Bitcoin is outperforming the stock market. Conversely, a declining ratio suggests that Bitcoin is underperforming, making stock market investments potentially more lucrative than holding BTC.

Historical Perspective and Potential Growth

Zeberg’s analysis delves into historical data, noting that a “bull” signal was triggered in February 2023, preceding a substantial rally in Bitcoin’s price. By July 2023, Bitcoin had surged to approximately $32,000. Although there has been a cooling-off period, Bitcoin has maintained levels above the February highs, currently hovering around $25,200, reaffirming the upward trend.

Zeberg’s assessment, guided by the BTC/SPX Ratio, suggests that Bitcoin and other risk assets could experience robust gains in the coming months. Drawing parallels to the past, between April 2019 and May 2021, Bitcoin surged by a remarkable 6X, while the S&P 500 recorded a more modest 41% increase. This historical context implies that Bitcoin may have significant upside potential in the near future.

Uncertainty and Potential Outcomes

While Zeberg’s analysis is optimistic, it’s essential to acknowledge the inherent uncertainty in cryptocurrency markets. The BTC/SPX Ratio indicator, while informative, may not precisely predict market peaks or troughs. Past instances have shown that signals may lead or lag market movements.

The question of whether Bitcoin will reach $200,000 this bull run remains speculative. The BTC/SPX Ratio’s lagging nature makes it challenging to pinpoint exact market dynamics. The last bull signal in early February 2023 doesn’t guarantee a direct ascent; there could be further price fluctuations. If the bullish trend continues, BTC’s potential surge could echo the past, possibly exceeding $200,000 in this current bull cycle.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

BTG Pactual, known for its commitment to cryptocurrency services for customers, has entered into an agreement to purchase 100% of Orama’s shares, valued at 500 million Brazilian reais. This acquisition, subject to regulatory approvals, including from Brazil’s central bank, underscores BTG Pactual’s commitment to expanding its digital platforms and providing more diverse investment opportunities.

Marcelo Flora, BTG Pactual’s digital platforms partner, expressed excitement about the acquisition, highlighting the prospect of granting Orama customers access to the comprehensive BTG platform.

Orama’s Profile

Founded in 2011, Orama boasts nearly 18 billion Brazilian reais in assets under custody and serves approximately 360,000 customers. While Orama primarily focuses on distributing investment funds and fixed-income products, it has also ventured into cryptocurrency investments.

Block3 Ativos Digitais FIM IE one-year price chart. Source: Bloomberg

In April 2022, Orama’s wealth management arm, Orama Singular, introduced the Block3 fund—an actively managed fund centered on digital assets. Block3 offers investors a diverse portfolio within the cryptocurrency industry, encompassing Bitcoin, tokens, derivatives, and more.

Notably, Orama’s digital asset fund has exhibited remarkable growth over the past year. It surged by over 30%, rising from 90.5 reais in October 2022 to 118.8 reais in September 2023, as reported by Bloomberg.

The Crypto Horizon for BTG Pactual

While the implications of BTG Pactual’s acquisition of Orama in terms of new crypto-related products remain uncertain, the bank has been actively involved in the crypto space in recent years. In April 2023, BTG Pactual revealed its intentions to launch BTG Dol—a stablecoin pegged to the US dollar at a 1:1 ratio, utilizing the bank’s custody services.

Additionally, BTG Pactual previously introduced a crypto trading app that enables its customers to directly invest in cryptocurrencies, solidifying its presence in the growing digital asset landscape.

BTG Pactual’s foray into the world of cryptocurrency reflects the evolving financial landscape, where traditional institutions are increasingly recognizing the value and potential of digital assets in their investment portfolios and service offerings.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Bitcoin’s price recently surged towards the critical $28,500 resistance level, marking a significant uptrend. However, a corrective phase ensued, and BTC currently finds support at $27,350.

Steady Climb Above Key Levels

BTC displayed a steady ascent, surpassing both the $28,000 and $28,200 resistance barriers. The cryptocurrency even ventured to test the $28,500 mark, achieving a multi-week high of approximately $28,565. Subsequently, a downward correction ensued.

Despite the correction, Bitcoin continues to trade above the crucial $27,400 level and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average (SMA). Furthermore, an important bullish trend line is forming, with support at approximately $27,400, as indicated on the BTC/USD hourly chart.

Upside Potential

Immediate resistance is anticipated around the $27,850 level, with the next significant hurdle lying at $28,000. A successful breach of the $28,000 resistance may trigger another upward move. In such a scenario, Bitcoin’s price could set its sights on the $28,500 resistance, with the possibility of an ascent toward the $29,200 level.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Potential Downside Scenarios

In the event that Bitcoin struggles to overcome the $28,000 resistance, it may experience further declines. Initial support is situated at approximately $27,400, closely aligned with the aforementioned bullish trend line. Subsequently, the $27,250 level and the 100-hourly SMA represent pivotal support zones. A sustained breach and closure below $27,250 could lead to a descent toward $26,800, with the next support resting at $26,650. Further losses may result in a test of the $26,000 level.

While Bitcoin recently underwent a technical correction, it remains above key support levels and maintains bullish momentum. Traders and investors are closely monitoring the $28,000 resistance level, as a successful breach could usher in a new uptrend. Conversely, the cryptocurrency has crucial support zones to cushion potential downward movements.

 

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

BTC started a new week, month, and quarter with a robust upward movement, breaching the $28,000 mark. The cryptocurrency community welcomes “Uptober” with optimism as BTC records its best weekly close since mid-August.

October’s Historical Significance

Historically, October has witnessed significant price gains for BTC. Enthusiasts are eager to see if this trend continues, given the positive start to the month.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

October’s macroeconomic data in the United States appears to be in a quiet phase, and the government has averted a shutdown, reducing immediate macro triggers. Bitcoin’s performance may not be significantly impacted by macroeconomic factors at this juncture.

While BTC’s spot price exhibits bullish momentum, its fundamentals do not entirely mirror this enthusiasm. Bitcoin mining difficulty is poised to decrease by 0.7% at the next automated readjustment on October 2, marking a shift from the recent trend.

Bitcoin bulls are cautiously optimistic as the cryptocurrency surged to nearly $28,000. However, some traders anticipate a potential retracement. The market’s direction now depends on spot traders’ actions.

Classic “Uptober” or Something Different?

This year’s October appears distinct from the previous year, as BTC exhibits a strong start. In 2021, October began with a slight dip and ultimately led to a sideways month. This year’s “Uptober” resembles the more traditional October patterns seen in previous years.

BTC/USD order book data for Binance. Source: Keith Alan/X

Traders are suggesting that Bitcoin has broken its mid-term downtrend, retested it, and is now embarking on the next upward leg. Many anticipate further price increases, with some even speculating a move beyond $30,000, a level not seen since June.

Historical Positivity in October

Data reveals that in eight out of the previous ten Octobers, Bitcoin has shown positive performance, with average returns of approximately 22%.

BTC/USD monthly returns (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

In a departure from recent norms, Bitcoin network fundamentals do not align with the bullish sentiment in spot markets. Bitcoin’s mining difficulty is set to decrease by 0.7% in the upcoming automated readjustment on October 2.

As Bitcoin enthusiasts navigate the month of “Uptober,” they remain cautiously optimistic, closely monitoring both price movements and fundamental shifts in the cryptocurrency landscape.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

The possibility of Bitcoin ETFs gaining approval in the United States has generated significant interest. Here’s an analysis of the potential impact, hurdles, and implications of this development.

Unlocking $600 Billion in New Demand

The recent directive by a U.S. appellate court to the SEC to reassess Grayscale’s Bitcoin ETF application could unleash a substantial influx of $600 billion into the cryptocurrency market. The approval of a Bitcoin ETF has the potential to democratize cryptocurrency investments, similar to what ETFs did for Brazilian markets.

Market analysts anticipate the approval of a Bitcoin ETF by early 2024, doubling Bitcoin’s current market cap of approximately $550 billion. However, these estimates remain speculative and contingent on various factors, including regulatory responses and market dynamics.

The SEC’s delays and rejections of Bitcoin ETF applications, led by Chair Gary Gensler, have faced criticism and investor frustration. A bipartisan group of lawmakers has urged the SEC to grant immediate approval for a spot crypto ETF, adding to the complexity of the approval process.

Lobbying for New Regulations

Major players in the crypto industry, such as Coinbase, are actively lobbying for new regulations, reflecting the ongoing contestation over the future of crypto regulations.

Recent SEC actions and delays on ETF applications have cast uncertainty over the approval timeline. Speculation suggests that filings from various firms, including BlackRock, Bitwise, and Wisdomtree, could also experience delays, impacting the overall approval process.

Competition in the Bitcoin ETF market may drive down management fees, impacting revenue for financial institutions like BlackRock. These fees, usually ranging from 0.20% to 2.00%, have been decreasing due to competition, cost-effective strategies, and investor demand for transparency.

Grayscale’s Revenue Model

Grayscale generates revenue from its ETFs through management fees, typically calculated as a percentage of the total assets under management (AUM). For instance, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) charges a 2% annual fee, which has generated substantial revenue.

Bitcoin ETF approval could have geopolitical implications, setting a precedent for other countries and accelerating global cryptocurrency adoption. The court ruling challenges the SEC’s sole authority over digital assets, indicating potential shifts in crypto regulations.

While hurdles remain on the path to Bitcoin ETF approval, this development signifies progress and holds the promise of greater accessibility and regulation in the crypto market, potentially attracting more capital and wider acceptance.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Costco’s rapid sale of gold bars has drawn attention, reflecting a growing investor interest in traditional safe-haven assets like gold. But is gold a better investment than Bitcoin in today’s economic landscape?

Gold has experienced a remarkable 12% price surge in the past year, partly driven by the Federal Reserve’s efforts to combat inflation through higher interest rates. The key question is whether this surge will push gold’s price above the $2,050 mark, last seen in May.

Gold (yellow) vs. Bitcoin (orange), S&P 500 (green) and WTI oil (black), last 12 months. Source: TradingView

While gold’s performance is notable, it’s crucial to contextualize it. Over the same period, gold’s returns have roughly matched those of the S&P 500 (15.4% gain) and WTI oil (12% increase). In contrast, Bitcoin has seen an impressive 39.5% rise, highlighting its significant potential.

Risk-Reward Scenario Favoring Gold

Gold’s reliability as a store of value during crises and uncertainty is one of its strongest attributes. With a market value of over $12 trillion, gold is a prime candidate for capital inflows when investors exit traditional markets, such as stocks and real estate.

Gold (yellow) vs. Bitcoin (orange), S&P 500 (green) and WTI oil (black), Feb/Mar 2020. Source: TradingView

Central banks, including China, Poland, Turkey, and Russia, have been net buyers of gold, with Russia planning to bolster its reserves by $433 million. This interest reflects the desire to shield economies from commodity market volatility, particularly in the oil and gas sectors.

Gold Production and Stock-to-Flow Ratio

In 2022, approximately 3,100 tonnes of gold were produced, with Russia and China contributing significantly. The World Gold Council predicts record-high production of 3,300 tonnes in 2023 if prices continue to rise. Gold’s stock-to-flow ratio, a crucial metric, has remained stable at around 67 for 12 years, indicating its relative scarcity.

200 years of gold production. Source: Visual Capitalist

Bitcoin’s performance could surpass gold’s, particularly during events like a U.S. government shutdown due to the debt limit. Bitcoin’s $500 billion market capitalization allows for significant price jumps, even with lower inflows. Additionally, central banks selling gold holdings to cover expenses could boost Bitcoin’s appeal.

While gold remains a stalwart safe-haven asset, Bitcoin’s remarkable gains and lower equivalent inflation rate position it as a strong contender for investors seeking alternative stores of value. Economic uncertainty and Federal Reserve policies continue to support both assets, making the choice between them a matter of individual investment strategy.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Bitcoin lending platform Ledn is expanding its services by launching Ethereum (ETH) and Tether (USDT) interest accounts, driven by user demand for an alternative to manually staking ETH.

ETH Yield Offering

Ledn, based in the Cayman Islands, has introduced an ETH offering to its existing Growth Accounts products, providing users with ring-fenced opportunities to earn interest on their Bitcoin and USD Coin deposits. Users sought a more straightforward way to earn interest on ETH holdings without managing Ether through liquid staking pools.

Ledn emphasizes that its Growth Accounts are distinct from its other products and services. Deposited ETH is exposed solely to the counterparty responsible for generating yield from the staked amount. Therefore, user deposits remain secure even in the event of Ledn’s bankruptcy, addressing concerns that have arisen due to failures in the crypto lending sector.

Mauricio Di Bartolomeo, Chief Strategy Officer at Ledn, highlighted the convenience of the ETH yield option compared to native ETH staking. Ledn plans to extend ETH support across its entire suite of products in the coming months.

Additional Stablecoin Growth Account

Ledn has also announced the launch of a second stablecoin Growth Account, allowing users to deposit and earn interest on Tether (USDT) tokens starting from October 12. However, these offerings will not be available to users in the United States or Canada.

Ledn follows the trend of Bitcoin-focused companies expanding their support for cryptocurrencies beyond BTC. For example, Casa, a noncustodial wallet platform initially focused on Bitcoin, introduced multisignature ETH self-storage in June 2023.

In August 2023, Ledn entered into a partnership with Cayman Islands real estate company Parallel, enabling cryptocurrency users to invest in property as a pathway to eventual residency.

Ledn’s response to user requests for Ethereum and stablecoin interest accounts reflects its commitment to providing a broader range of crypto financial services.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Bitcoin experienced a surge in its price following the Wall Street opening on September 28 as markets eagerly awaited signals from the United States Federal Reserve.

Bitcoin’s Volatility Ahead of Powell’s Speech

BTC price action gained momentum during the day, with a surge in what some described as a classic “pump and dump” move just 24 hours earlier. It briefly reached highs of $26,823 on Bitstamp with a 2% daily gain before retracing its progress.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Following this, Bitcoin continued its ascent at a slower pace, approaching the $27,000 mark.

The cryptocurrency seemed to respond positively to the latest U.S. macroeconomic data, which indicated a 1.7% year-on-year growth in GDP for Q2, slightly below the projected 2.0%. Additionally, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index data for August was in line with expectations.

Awaiting Jerome Powell’s Remarks

The U.S. macro data served as a prelude to the main event of the day: Jerome Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve, was scheduled to speak later at the Fed’s “Conversation with the Chair: A Teacher Town Hall Meeting” event in Washington, D.C. Powell’s recent statements did not significantly impact crypto markets, and his remarks were closely monitored by investors.

Market Analysis and Key Resistance

Some traders remained optimistic about Bitcoin’s price action for the day, noting a stronger move compared to September 27. However, they also highlighted the need for caution among long positions to avoid potential retracements.

BTC/USD chart with open interest data. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

Analysts pointed out key resistance trendlines that Bitcoin needed to overcome for a substantial trend change. It was suggested that Bitcoin might rally to as high as $29,000 to establish a new Lower High as part of a broader price movement.

Bitcoin’s price remained subject to volatility and potential trend changes, with Powell’s comments serving as a significant driver of market sentiment.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
footer logo