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Primal, a company focused on creating bitcoin-integrated applications for the Nostr social network, has successfully raised $1 million in funding from investors including Ten31 and Hivemind Ventures.

Empowering Primal’s Mission

Primal’s core objective is to enable users to send micro bitcoin payments, called “zaps,” to fellow users who share enjoyable content or items globally. Founder and CEO Miljan Braticevic emphasizes the platform’s user-friendly interface, akin to Twitter, combined with the decentralized Nostr protocol. With approximately 30 million users, Nostr’s influence continues to expand.

Decentralizing Social Media

The initiative addresses the challenges of centralized social media, where dominant corporations wield control over permissible content. Primal’s model strives for a censorship-resistant and fully decentralized platform. Notably, both conservative and liberal voices have faced content removal or censorship, highlighting the broader concern.

Hope for Uninhibited Discussions

The decentralized nature of platforms like Nostr offers the potential for unimpeded discussions without hosting platform interference. This approach could foster open and candid conversations while minimizing retaliation risks.

Max Webster, the founder of Hivemind Ventures, which participated in the funding round, shared insights about Nostr’s unique approach.

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Glassnode’s Co-Founders share insights about Bitcoin’s potential performance in September, noting optimistic signals from the relative strength index (RSI). However, a critical level presents a hurdle.

Source: Negentropic/X

The co-founders of crypto analytics firm Glassnode, Jan Happel and Yann Allemann, known as Negentropic on X social platform, anticipate a promising trajectory for Bitcoin (BTC) in the coming month. The duo highlights Bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI) as a bullish indicator as September approaches.

While the RSI, situated just below 30 on the scale, usually indicates an oversold zone, the co-founders emphasize that a dip below the crucial $25,500 mark could complicate an upward move.

The August journey of Bitcoin has intrigued the crypto community. The daily RSI draws parallels with patterns from June 2022, stirring curiosity about September. Key considerations revolve around potential challenges under $25,500 and the lack of buy orders beyond $26,000.

Source: Negentropic/X

Chart Analysis and Current Dynamics

Chart analysis reveals short-term energy waning, potentially influencing the $25,200 level, distinct from the neutral long-term perspective. September holds promise as the RSI signals a possible resurgence. However, a cautious approach is necessary due to the potential difficulty in breaching the $25,500 threshold and surpassing the $26,000 mark. This balancing act will shape Bitcoin’s path forward. The co-founders underline that although bears currently dominate the market, the pace of BTC selling is slowing down. They are closely monitoring for signs of a relief rally, which could lead to Bitcoin retesting the $27,000 level.

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Crypto asset management firm Hashdex has submitted an application to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for a unique Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund (ETF) that will hold spot Bitcoin. This move puts Hashdex in the race alongside other contenders for a spot Bitcoin ETF in the United States.

Divergent Approach to Spot Bitcoin Acquisition

Hashdex’s strategy stands apart from recent filings as it seeks to acquire spot Bitcoin from physical exchanges within the CME market, rather than depending on the Coinbase surveillance sharing agreement. This approach is outlined in a 19b-4 filing by NYSE Arca with the SEC. The company intends to integrate spot Bitcoin into its Bitcoin futures ETF, and as part of this strategy, it aims to change the ETF’s ticker to Hashdex Bitcoin ETF.

Innovative Strategy and Expert Opinions

Financial analysts have taken notice of Hashdex’s distinctive filing. James Seyffart from Bloomberg highlighted that the strategy involves exchange for related positions transactions, where futures contracts are exchanged for equivalent spot exposure instead of direct cash purchases from exchanges. This approach is believed to have a higher likelihood of receiving SEC approval, considering various recent developments in the regulatory landscape.

Nate Geraci, President of The ETF Store, investor Alistair Milne, and finance attorney Scott Johnsson have also weighed in on Hashdex’s approach. They speculate that this unique filing could address certain concerns of the SEC related to Bitcoin market manipulation and liquidity issues.

Uncertain Regulatory Response

As of now, the SEC and its Chair, Gary Gensler, have not issued any official comments on the recent surge of Ethereum ETF applications or the potential approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF within the current year. The landscape remains uncertain, with market participants eagerly awaiting regulatory decisions that could significantly impact the cryptocurrency investment landscape.

 

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Bitcoin’s value could dip below $20,000 in 2023 when considering inflation, despite reaching highs of $69,000 in the past years. Adjusted for inflation, the cryptocurrency’s price has remained relatively static since 2017, hovering just above its old all-time high. As of August 25, 2023, the value of $20,000 worth of Bitcoin purchased in 2017 has only appreciated to $24,942. This highlights the cryptocurrency’s stable yet modest performance over the years.

BTC/USD 1-month chart. Source: TradingView

Bitcoin’s Role as a Store of Value

Bitcoin enthusiasts note that even with inflation adjustment, the cryptocurrency’s ability to retain its value is noteworthy. Anonymous marketing officer BTCGandalf of Bitcoin mining company Braiins acknowledges the lack of attention to this issue, despite its implications.

Jackson Hole Event’s Impact on Bitcoin

Market attention is now directed towards the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium on August 25, where Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is expected to discuss economic policies. Investors hope for insights that could break the current status quo of Bitcoin’s price. The event’s outcomes could lead to increased volatility and potentially a market shift.

U.S. Inflation Calculator data (screenshot). Source: usinflationcalculator.com

Liquidity Concerns and Future Outlook

An analysis of the BTC/USD order book on Binance reveals a scarcity of significant liquidity above $25,000, suggesting the potential for swift and sizable price fluctuations. This raises the prospect of a “bearadise,” a term coined to describe a bear market scenario with lower prices. With U.S. inflation data and the Jackson Hole event shaping market sentiment, the cryptocurrency landscape remains uncertain.

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Leading cryptocurrency exchange Binance revealed its intention to overhaul the zero-fee Bitcoin trading structure on August 24. This action could be compared to the abrupt 90% drop in trading volume that was observed after Binance stopped offering zero-fee trading in March.

Binance publicly announced its choice to begin September 7 with an update to the no-fee Bitcoin trading system. With regard to spot and margin trading, they will specifically modify the zero-fee trading structure for Bitcoin (BTC), which has a price of $26,035, when matched with True USD (TUSD).

Prior to this modification, trading BTC with TUSD pairs was free of maker and taker costs. A standard taker cost based on the user’s VIP status will be applied going future. Maker costs won’t apply to the BTC/TUSD spot or margin trading pair, though.

The volume will be taken into account for all Liquidity Provider schemes and the user’s VIP tier calculations for transactions involving the BTC/TUSD spot and margin trading pair. The volume of BTC/TUSD trading will also once more be subject to BNB discounts, referral bonuses, and other fee adjustments.

It seems like Binance is gradually withdrawing its support for zero-fee Bitcoin trading with TUSD, indicating waning faith in the TUSD stablecoin for a number of reasons. Trading Bitcoin in conjunction with the FDUSD spot and margin trading pair, however, will continue to be free for both makers and takers.

This modification to Binance’s fee policy for trading BTC/TUSD could unwittingly lead to another market sell-off.

According to data from CoinMarketCap, the BTC/TUSD and BTC/USDT combinations are the most frequently traded Bitcoin pairs, accounting for 11% and 7% of all transactions, respectively. After Binance stopped supporting BUSD and started only recognizing TUSD for fee-free Bitcoin trades, the volume of trading in Tether (USDT) pairs significantly decreased.

The less well-known FDUSD stablecoin appears to be receiving more attention from Binance than the well-known TUSD stablecoin. It’s important to remember that FDUSD has a market cap of $324 million right now and isn’t among the top 10 Bitcoin pairs by volume.

 

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Cryptocurrency exchange Binance recently announced its upcoming changes to the zero-fee Bitcoin trading program, scheduled to take effect on September 7th. This decision has raised concerns about a possible market downturn, reminiscent of the significant trading volume decline observed in March when Binance discontinued zero-fee trading.

Update Details and Impact on Traders

In an official statement, Binance disclosed its plans to modify the zero-fee Bitcoin trading offering for the Bitcoin/True USD (TUSD) spot and margin trading pair. Previously, traders enjoyed fee-free trading with TUSD pairs, but now a regular taker fee will be implemented based on the user’s VIP level. However, no maker fees will be applied to Bitcoin trades on the BTC/TUSD spot and margin trading pair.

Binance’s decision to discontinue zero-fee Bitcoin trading for TUSD pairs indicates a reduced support for the TUSD stablecoin, possibly due to underlying concerns. This adjustment could inadvertently trigger market selloffs, as seen with similar past instances. The trading volume of the BTC/TUSD and BTC/USDT pairs, constituting 11% and 7% of Bitcoin trades respectively according to CoinMarketCap, could be significantly impacted.

Impact on Stablecoin Landscape

Binance’s move away from TUSD to the lesser-known FDUSD stablecoin is noteworthy. However, FDUSD doesn’t rank within the top 10 Bitcoin pairs by trading volume. Its market capitalization stands at $324 million, significantly lower than more established stablecoins.

The impending update to Binance’s zero-fee Bitcoin trading program, specifically for the BTC/TUSD spot and margin trading pair, has sparked concerns about a potential market downturn similar to the one observed in March. Traders and the cryptocurrency community will closely monitor the effects of this adjustment on trading volumes and stablecoin dynamics.

 

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The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City is getting ready to host the annual Economic Policy Symposium, also known as the Jackson Hole meeting, from August 24-26, 2023, amid mounting concerns about a potential shift away from the U.S. dollar. It’s entirely probable that Bitcoin’s price may experience large volatility during this eagerly awaited conference, going by how it has reacted to US Fed meetings over the past couple of years.

Changes in the Global Economy’s Gears

This year’s symposium will focus on the subject of “Structural Changes in the Global Economy” as the globe struggled to recover from the epidemic in 2021 and 2022. Recent international developments, such Russia’s entry into Ukraine and BRICS nation discussions about possible alternatives to the US Dollar for international trade, have dominated economic debates. The 2023 conference attempts to look into these significant and potentially long-lasting changes reshaping the world economy.

The Expected Speech by Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole 2023

The symposium featuring Jerome Powell, Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve, is slated for August 25, 2023. Many people are looking forward to Powell’s address because of the uncertainty that looms over the future of the American economy. His opinions on short-term inflation forecasts, the Federal Reserve’s progress toward meeting the 2% inflation objective, and the related choices on target rates will be of particular interest to market observers.

Additionally, Powell will share the stage with Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, on that same day. Powell’s remarks could cause observable volatility in the cryptocurrency market given the recent stagnation in bitcoin prices.

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Bitcoin is gaining traction in West Africa, particularly in Nigeria, the region’s economic powerhouse. Concurrently, French-speaking West African nations are witnessing a surge in Bitcoin adoption, propelled by dissatisfaction with the West African CFA franc currency and increasing anti-French sentiment.

Nourou opens Bitique in the Dakar business district. Source: Nourou

Key Highlights:

Bitcoin Hub in Senegal: Senegal’s initiation of its first physical Bitcoin exchange and educational center, Bitique, marks a significant step. Additionally, the upcoming Bitcoin Forum in Dakar will encourage open Bitcoin conversations.

Benin’s Bitcoin Mastermind: In Benin, the inaugural Bitcoin Mastermind conference will provide a platform for Bitcoin entrepreneurs and enthusiasts to engage with the cryptocurrency’s nuances.

Currency Critique: The West African CFA franc currency’s colonial legacy has triggered discontent. Bitcoin emerges as an alternative, catering to those critical of the historical context.

Emphasis on Real-World Interaction: In contrast to Western regions, West African countries prioritize face-to-face engagements. Bitcoin conferences and meetups serve as hubs for education and networking.

Educational Initiatives: Bitique offers trading services and educational programs. Bitcoin Senegal’s “Baol Digital Kids” initiative imparts Bitcoin knowledge to children. A growing number of Dakar merchants now accept Bitcoin payments.

Overcoming Challenges: Network instability in the region is mitigated by tools such as Blockstream Satellite, ensuring uninterrupted Bitcoin node connectivity.

Crypto Risks: Despite Bitcoin’s increasing adoption, the allure of swift profits from risky cryptocurrencies attracts newcomers, potentially undermining Bitcoin’s reputation.

Emphasis on Distinctive Bitcoin: West African Bitcoin communities endeavor to differentiate Bitcoin from the broader crypto market, focusing on its unique characteristics.

Broader Trends: The Central African Republic’s incorporation of Bitcoin as legal tender and Ghana’s upcoming Bitcoin conference underline the expanding educational endeavors within the region.

Bitcoin is becoming a symbol of financial empowerment in West Africa, challenging conventional currencies and fostering grassroots education and awareness.

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Bitcoin’s price struggles persist following the recent flash crash, with an analyst eyeing a potential “V-shape” rebound as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reaches its lowest point in five years.

Ongoing Sideways BTC Performance

Bitcoin’s price remained stagnant on August 22, with $26,000 serving as a focal point for intraday trading. This marks the third consecutive day of sideways movement for BTC/USD. Despite being heavily oversold based on RSI readings, Bitcoin hasn’t shown signs of recovery from levels seen two months ago. Traders have playfully referred to the choppy price action as the “death chop.”

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Liquidity Dynamics and Potential Outcomes

Liquidity analysis of the Binance BTC/USD order book reveals a lack of substantial liquidity, increasing the possibility of a sharp price movement in either direction. The market appears to be waiting to see if more buying or selling pressure will come into play. A lower low (LL) could risk breaching the $20,000 support, potentially leading to sub-$20,000 levels.

BTC/USD order book data for Binance annotated chart. Source: Material Indicators/X

RSI Signals “V-Shape Recovery” Prospects

Analysts point out heavily oversold signals on RSI, hinting at a possible “V-shape recovery” trend. Michaël van de Poppe, CEO of trading firm Eight, noted that similar situations in the past have resulted in recoveries and the establishment of higher price floors. Van de Poppe suggested that Bitcoin could target $26,500 or beyond.

Traders draw parallels between the current Bitcoin price action and that of September 2020, just before the onset of the previous bull market. Some anticipate a gradual upward trend, similar to the past, leading to potential price gains.

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A former Chinese government official, Xiao Yi, has been handed a life sentence for operating an unauthorized $329 million Bitcoin mining venture and engaging in corruption. The Intermediate People’s Court of Hangzhou City found Xiao Yi guilty of both illegitimate business activities and unrelated bribery charges.

Bitcoin Mining and Corruption Convictions

Xiao Yi, previously a member of the Jiangxi Provincial Political Consultative Conference Party Group and Vice Chairman, was sentenced to life in prison for corruption and abuse of power. The corruption charges relate to bribery spanning 2008 to 2021, while the abuse of power charges stem from providing financial and electricity subsidies to Jiumu Group Genesis Technology, a firm running over 160,000 Bitcoin mining machines.

Former Chinese government official Xiao Yi awaits sentencing. | Source: Intermediate People’s Court of Hangzhou City

Cover-Up and Guilty Plea

Prosecutors stated that Yi concealed the mining operation by manipulating statistics and electricity consumption data. His actions led to Jiumu Group’s electricity usage accounting for 10% of Fuzhou’s total consumption. Yi admitted guilt, repented, and returned the embezzled funds. The court seized both bribe money and profits obtained from illicit activities.

China’s Crypto Restrictions and Legal Action

China has banned cryptocurrency transactions, exchanges, and fiat-to-crypto conversions, though ownership remains legal. A recent Chinese court ruling invalidated a $10 million Bitcoin lending contract, citing the country’s crypto ban. Additionally, aiding in crypto-related transactions has led to legal consequences, as evidenced by a Chinese national receiving a prison term for assisting in a Tether transaction.

 

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