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When the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, Satoshi Nakamoto, launched the Genesis Block on Jan. 3, 2009, they left a timestamp referencing The Times newspaper’s front page from the same day.

The “Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks” message has a much deeper meaning, one that still resonates with ardent Bitcoiners years later.

Satoshi’s Symbolic Bitcoin Message 

Despite the growing attention Bitcoin has earned since 2009, there’s a lot of mystery surrounding its creator, Satoshi Nakamoto.

It’s now the digital currency’s 12th anniversary, and their true identity is still unknown. Several candidates have been declared “the one” (or, in Craig Wright’s case, put themselves forward), though no conclusive answer has materialized.

Whoever Satoshi Nakamoto really was, it’s widely believed that they had a disdain for the traditional finance system.

They released the Bitcoin whitepaper on Oct. 31, 2008, when the world was going through the global financial crisis. By late 2010, they’d vanished, still unwilling to lay claim to the groundbreaking monetary system they’d created.

The trail of messages Satoshi Nakamoto left prior to their sudden disappearance has led many to believe that Bitcoin was a response to the events of 2007-2008. On the message board for the P2P Foundation, an organization focused on peer-to-peer technology, Satoshi Nakamoto wrote a memorable post introducing Bitcoin in February 2009.

In it, they showed their uneasiness at placing trust in fractional reserve banking:

“Banks must be trusted to hold our money and transfer it electronically, but they lend it out in waves of credit bubbles with barely a fraction in reserve. We have to trust them with our privacy, trust them not to let identity thieves drain our accounts. Their massive overhead costs make micropayments impossible.”

Satoshi Nakamoto launched Bitcoin’s Genesis Block on 18:15:05 UTC on Jan. 3, 2009. The moment would become a keystone of Bitcoin history.

There were several unique features to the block, also known as block 0. The 50 BTC mining reward from the first transaction was made unspendable. Though the reason for this has been a topic of debate among Bitcoiners, there’s a good chance that Satoshi Nakamoto had accounted for the anomaly in their plans—this was an expert coder, after all.

Whereas new blocks are produced at an average of every 10 minutes, it took six days to find the next one on the chain. The reason behind this is also a mystery.

Some have even suggested that there could be a religious link: in the Book of Genesis, God created the heavens and earth in six days, then took a day of rest.

Notably, Satoshi Nakamoto only publicly announced Bitcoin to The Cryptography Mailing List on Jan. 9, the same day the next block on the chain was found.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin rally in 2024 is starting to show signs of slowing down as it dropped 1.8% in the last 24 hours to $91,800. The largest cryptocurrency’s price has now fallen more than 14% from its December peak of $108,278, raising concerns of a potential correction. As the year closes, profit-taking from long-term holders and macroeconomic worries are weighing heavily on the crypto market.

Profit-Taking Pressure Mounts

After Bitcoin’s remarkable surge of over 117% this year, investors are increasingly cashing out their profits. The amount of profit-taking is currently surpassing $1.2 billion on a seven-day moving average, although this is lower than the peak of $4 billion seen earlier in December. Notably, most of the profits are coming from long-term holders who have kept their assets for several years, leading to substantial selling pressure.

The shift in sentiment has extended to the broader cryptocurrency market. Ether (ETH) has fallen 0.7% to $3,320, a 17% drop from its December highs, while Solana (SOL) has been a relative outperformer, with its SOL/BTC ratio up 0.35%. The CoinDesk 20, an index of the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market cap, has also slid 3.74%, with Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) bearing the brunt of the losses, down by 6% and 6.3%, respectively.

The Impact on Crypto-Related Stocks

The price slump in cryptocurrencies has also affected stocks of companies tied to the crypto industry. MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Coinbase (COIN) experienced declines of 7% and 5.3%, respectively, while major bitcoin mining companies such as Marathon Digital (MARA) and Riot Platforms (RIOT) saw their shares drop more than 7%. The sell-off underscores the interconnectedness of the crypto ecosystem with both digital asset prices and related equities.

Macroeconomic Factors Weigh on Market Sentiment

The downturn in the crypto market is being compounded by weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data. The Chicago PMI, which measures the performance of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors in the Chicago area, posted its lowest reading since May, indicating a potential economic slowdown. Additionally, there is growing uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy, with the central bank indicating that it will pause rate cuts until at least March 2025.

Bitcoin profit-taking (Glassnode)

Bitcoin profit-taking (Glassnode)

The political environment is also adding to market jitters, as the U.S. prepares for the inauguration of President-elect Donald Trump on January 20. These macroeconomic concerns have sent shockwaves through traditional markets as well, with major indices such as the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones all losing more than 1%.

Outlook for 2025: Consolidation and Potential Growth

Looking ahead, experts remain cautiously optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term prospects. Joe Carlasare, partner at Amundsen Davis, notes that while the market has exceeded expectations in 2024, there are signs of exhaustion, suggesting a phase of consolidation may be in order. However, Carlasare is hopeful about Bitcoin’s adoption continuing to grow, predicting that it will move more in line with traditional markets in 2025.

“If the U.S. avoids a significant growth slowdown, Bitcoin should perform well, though the ride may be bumpier than in 2024,” Carlasare said.

Bitcoin’s ability to weather the current volatility will depend on a combination of factors, including macroeconomic developments, continued institutional adoption, and investor sentiment. As the market digests the gains of 2024, it’s likely to see more fluctuations in the short term before any sustained upward trajectory. However, for those holding long-term, the outlook remains positive, with many anticipating that Bitcoin will continue to play a significant role in the evolving financial landscape.

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Decentralized exchanges (DEXs) reached new heights in December, with monthly trading volume soaring to a record $462 billion, according to data from DeFi analytics platform DefiLlama. This milestone continues the momentum from November, which saw a volume of $374 billion.

Uniswap Leads the Way

Uniswap remained the largest DEX by trading volume, recording $106.4 billion over the last 30 days. PancakeSwap secured the second spot with $96.4 billion in monthly volume, while Solana’s Raydium came in third with $58 billion.

Raydium’s success aligns with a revenue boost in Solana-based decentralized applications (DApps) during November. Syndica, a research platform, reported that Solana DApps generated $365 million in revenue that month, driven largely by memecoins created on the Solana memecoin launchpad, Pump.fun.

Monthly decentralized exchange volume. Source: DefiLlama

Monthly decentralized exchange volume. Source: DefiLlama

Other notable performers included Aerodrome, with a monthly volume of $31 billion, and Orca, which recorded $22 billion. Combined, Lifinity, Curve Finance, and Hyperliquid contributed an additional $43.6 billion to the December totals.

Memecoins Face Market Cap Decline

While DeFi trading volumes hit record levels, the memecoin market experienced a sharp correction in December. CoinMarketCap data reveals that the overall memecoin market cap peaked at $137 billion on December 9 before plummeting to $92 billion by December 23. By the end of the month, the total market cap for memecoins had partially recovered to $95 billion, representing a 20% decline from December 1.

Top decentralized exchanges by monthly trading volume. Source: DefiLlama

Top decentralized exchanges by monthly trading volume. Source: DefiLlama

The early surge in memecoin interest was likely fuelled by US-based trading platforms listing new memecoins, alongside Pepe (PEPE) reaching an all-time high.

A Strong End to 2024 for DEXs

The record-breaking December figures mark a significant moment for the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector. Analysts attribute the rising DEX volumes in part to increasing regulatory clarity in the United States, following Donald Trump’s presidential election victory in November.

With Uniswap, PancakeSwap, and Solana’s Raydium dominating the scene, decentralized exchanges are closing 2024 on a high note, despite challenges in the broader cryptocurrency market.

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Business intelligence firm and prominent Bitcoin investor MicroStrategy has announced its latest acquisition of 2,138 Bitcoin, valued at $209 million. This purchase brings the company’s total Bitcoin holdings to an impressive 446,400 BTC, worth approximately $41.5 billion at current market prices. The acquisition marks the eighth consecutive week of Bitcoin purchases by the company.

The firm disclosed on December 30 that it acquired the cryptocurrency between December 23 and December 29, at an average price of $97,837 per BTC. According to filings, MicroStrategy funded the acquisition by selling 592,987 shares during the same week.

74% Year-to-Date Bitcoin Yield

MicroStrategy’s investment strategy has paid off, with its Bitcoin yield reaching 74.1% year-to-date as of December 30. From October 1 to December 29 alone, the yield stood at 47.8%. This performance metric reflects the company’s continued commitment to its Bitcoin strategy, which has been spearheaded by co-founder and executive chairman Michael Saylor.

Source: Michael Saylor

Source: Michael Saylor

Saylor hinted at the purchase on December 29, pointing to “disconcerting” lines on the Saylor Tracker, a data tool dedicated to monitoring MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin acquisitions. Previously, Saylor affirmed the company’s unwavering commitment to Bitcoin, stating they would continue to buy the cryptocurrency regardless of its price, even if it reaches $1 million per coin.

Regular Purchases Since October

Since October 31, MicroStrategy has consistently bought Bitcoin on a weekly basis, adding 194,180 BTC to its holdings during this period. However, the volume of Bitcoin acquired has significantly decreased compared to November, when the company purchased over 100,000 BTC.

Plans to Issue More Shares

In a filing dated December 23 with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), MicroStrategy announced plans to increase its authorized share count for Class A common stock and preferred stock. The proposed changes would raise the number of authorised Class A common stock from 330 million shares to 10.33 billion shares, and preferred stock from five million to more than one billion shares. This move would provide the company with greater flexibility to issue additional shares as needed to fund future Bitcoin purchases.

Commitment to Bitcoin Investment

MicroStrategy’s latest move highlights its aggressive approach to Bitcoin investment, positioning itself as one of the largest corporate holders of the cryptocurrency. Despite fluctuations in Bitcoin’s market price, the company remains steadfast in its strategy, aiming to solidify its position as a leading proponent of digital assets.

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Bitcoin (BTC) hovered around $95,000 on December 29, as liquidity-driven fluctuations became evident in exchange order books. Traders and analysts closely monitored market activity, anticipating potential volatility before Bitcoin closed its yearly candle.

Price Break Needed to Hit $97,300

Weekend trading saw BTC/USD confined to a narrow range, with minimal upward momentum. According to data from TradingView, the cryptocurrency’s price action remained subdued following a volatile final Wall Street session of the week.

Market analysts urged caution, citing liquidity analysis and trading signals. Material Indicators, a prominent trading resource, noted that two of its proprietary algorithms had issued bearish signals.

“FireCharts shows an $86 million bid ladder pushing BTC price up from the lows. However, a red signal from the Trend Precognition A1 algo, following consecutive red signals from the A2+ algo, suggests the price is unlikely to surpass yesterday’s high before today’s daily candle closes,” the group wrote on X (formerly Twitter). They added that breaking the $97,300 level would invalidate these bearish signals.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Meanwhile, liquidity movements on the Binance BTC/USDT pair led popular trader Skew to adopt a cautious stance. Skew highlighted how buy liquidity had shifted closer to the spot price, potentially signaling further upside if this pattern holds.

“I’ve been observing these limit bids throughout the day, which have conveniently moved higher towards the current price,” Skew commented. “This is often a sign of what’s to come, as large market players attempt to influence or control the price.”

Skew added that he expects more such liquidity “games” to unfold as Bitcoin approaches the yearly open.

Q4 Performance Rivals 2023 Gains

Despite the cautious sentiment, Bitcoin’s quarterly performance has remained impressive. At $95,000, BTC has dropped just 1.25% in December but has achieved over 50% gains for Q4. This nearly matches its performance for the entirety of 2023, according to data from CoinGlass.

While some market analysts predict further price corrections before the next bullish phase, veteran traders remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: Material Indicators/X

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: Material Indicators/X

One such trader, known as Titan of Crypto, shared a chart on X outlining Bitcoin’s potential “roadmap” through 2025. The chart utilised Wyckoff analysis, predicting that BTC could continue its ascent to macro highs before entering a distribution phase.

Final Thoughts

With Bitcoin trading near $95,000 and Q4 returns showcasing its resilience, market participants remain divided on short-term price action. While signals point to caution, optimism persists for the long-term outlook, as traders brace for potential volatility heading into the yearly close and 2024.

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Bitcoin has showcased resilience, holding firm above $97,000 despite the expiration of over $14.2 billion worth of Bitcoin (BTC) options contracts on 27 December. This expiry, which occurred at 8:00 a.m. UTC, marked the final major options expiry of 2024. The ‘max pain’ price—the level at which most options contracts would expire worthless—was set at $85,000, raising concerns about a potential downturn. However, Bitcoin defied expectations, peaking at $97,330 just an hour after the event, according to Tradingview.

Bitcoin ETF Flow (USD. million). Source: Farside Investors

Bitcoin ETF Flow (USD. million). Source: Farside Investors

The broader cryptocurrency market saw a total of $18 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ether (ETH) options expire, according to a Dec. 26 post by Deribit Exchange. The exchange highlighted the market’s heavy leverage to the upside, cautioning that any significant downside could trigger a rapid snowball effect. Analysts believe the outcome of this expiry could shape market trends as the sector heads into 2025.

$110K in Sight for Bitcoin?

Bitcoin’s strong performance post-expiry has analysts optimistic about its near-term prospects. Based on Bitcoin’s correlation with the global liquidity index, some experts predict BTC could peak at a local top above $110,000 in January before facing a potential correction. However, the asset faces significant resistance around the $98,000 mark, which could prove pivotal for its next move. A rally beyond this level would liquidate over $885 million worth of leveraged short positions across all exchanges, as per Coinglass data.

ETF Inflows Boost Bitcoin’s Rally

Adding to Bitcoin’s momentum, spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States ended a four-day losing streak with significant inflows on Dec. 26. According to Farside Investors, the ETFs received over $475 million in net positive inflows following the Christmas holidays. Throughout 2024, Bitcoin ETFs have played a vital role in supporting the cryptocurrency’s rally, accounting for approximately 75% of new investments in Bitcoin. This influx of capital helped push BTC past the $50,000 milestone earlier in the year.

Ryan Lee, Chief Analyst at Bitget Research, anticipates that post-holiday institutional liquidity could further strengthen Bitcoin’s position. “Post-Christmas, market activity typically picks up again, with funds expected to actively position for sectors that might benefit from Trump’s upcoming inauguration,” he told. Analysts forecast that returning liquidity could help push Bitcoin beyond $105,000 in the coming weeks.

Bitcoin Exchange Liquidation Map. Source: Coinglass

Bitcoin Exchange Liquidation Map. Source: Coinglass

2025 Outlook: Optimism Amid Macro Improvements

Looking ahead to 2025, market analysts remain bullish on Bitcoin’s trajectory. Some experts project BTC could reach as high as $160,000, driven by improving macroeconomic conditions and favorable financial policies in the United States. Institutional interest, combined with rising demand for Bitcoin ETFs, could continue to serve as a significant catalyst for growth in the coming year.

For now, Bitcoin’s resilience amidst high-stakes market events reinforces its status as a leading digital asset, with investors eagerly watching its next moves as the year closes and 2025 begins.

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Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the United States recorded an inflow of $475.15 million on Dec. 26, ending its four day streak of outflows.

According to data from SoSoValue, the 12 spot Bitcoin ETFs logged $475.15 million of inflows on Thursday following four straight days of outflows that saw over $1.5 billion leave the funds.

Fidelity’s FBTC led the lot with inflows of $254.37 million followed by ARK 21Shares’ ARKB which attracted $186.94 million in inflows.

BlackRock’s IBIT saw an inflow of $56.51 million while Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust and VanEck’s HODL also contributed to the positive momentum with more modest inflows of $7.19 million and $2.7 million respectively.

Some of the inflows on the day were offset by outflows from Grayscale’s GBTC and Bitwise’s BITB, which experienced withdrawals of $24.23 million and $8.32 million, respectively. The remaining five BTC ETFs recorded zero flows on the day.

The total trading volume for these investment products stood at $2.13 billion on Dec. 26 close to the $2.16 billion seen the previous day.

At press time, Bitcoin (BTC) was down 2.2% over the last 24 hours, exchanging hands at $95,996 per coin.
You might also like: Bitcoin’s X popularity grew 65% YoY in 2024

Ether ETF inflows hit 3-day streak

The nine spot Ethereum ETFs also had a positive day on Dec. 26, recording inflows of $117.09 million. This marked the third consecutive day of inflows, bringing the total over the three-day streak to more than $301 million.

The majority of inflows came into Fidelity’s FETH which saw $82.96 million enter the fund. BlackRock’s ETHA contributed to the postive momentum with inflows of $28.18 million while Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust saw more modest inflows of $5.95 million respectively. The remaining six ETH ETFs remained neutral on the day.

These investment vehicles’ cumulative total net inflow stood at $2.63 billion. Ethereum (ETH) was down 1.9% over the past day, trading at $3,374 when writing.
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Bitcoin

Bitcoin has achieved an unprecedented milestone, reaching a price of $106,000 and outpacing gold in purchasing power. The Bitcoin-to-gold ratio has climbed to an all-time high of 40 ounces of gold per Bitcoin, highlighting the cryptocurrency’s growing dominance as a store of value.

Bitcoin-to-Gold Ratio Hits New High

The Bitcoin-to-gold ratio, calculated by dividing Bitcoin’s price by the spot price of gold, soared to a record 40:1 as Bitcoin’s value surged past $106,000. Veteran trader Peter Brandt highlighted this development, noting it reflects Bitcoin’s increasing purchasing power compared to gold, traditionally considered the ultimate safe-haven asset.

With gold trading around $2,650 per ounce, Bitcoin’s digital attributes, scarcity, and decentralised nature continue to attract attention as a modern alternative to the precious metal. Brandt projected an even higher ratio of 89:1 in the future, emphasising the cryptocurrency’s upward momentum.

Bitcoin’s Market Value vs Gold’s Dominance

Despite this significant milestone, Bitcoin’s market capitalisation remains at approximately $2.1 trillion—far behind gold’s $15 trillion valuation. However, many in the crypto community believe Bitcoin could claim a larger share of gold’s market, given its superior portability, divisibility, and accessibility in the digital age.

bitcoin

Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of MicroStrategy, has gone as far as urging the U.S. government to sell its vast gold reserves and invest in Bitcoin. Saylor argues that Bitcoin could serve as a superior hedge against inflation, predicting the cryptocurrency’s value will eventually reach trillions of dollars.

Rising Mining Difficulty Sets a New Benchmark

Adding to Bitcoin’s momentum, its mining difficulty—a key measure of how challenging it is for miners to validate transactions—has reached a new high. On December 15, the difficulty level exceeded 105 trillion, as reported by CoinWarz. This metric is adjusted every 14 days to maintain network stability, with the next adjustment due on January 1, 2025.

This rising difficulty reflects the increasing competition among miners, further securing Bitcoin’s decentralised network and reinforcing its reputation as a robust digital asset.

Growing Institutional Support for Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s remarkable performance continues to attract institutional interest. Jack Dorsey’s Block recently announced plans to expand its Bitcoin mining and self-custody wallet initiatives, underscoring growing confidence in the asset.

As Bitcoin challenges traditional stores of value like gold, its adoption by institutions and national entities could signal a significant shift in global financial strategies. Supporters argue that Bitcoin’s finite supply and decentralised design make it the asset of choice for a future where digital value storage becomes paramount.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin has cemented its position as the 10th largest currency globally, reaching a staggering market capitalisation of $2.04 trillion. With 19.8 million BTC in circulation, the cryptocurrency has not only outpaced numerous national currencies but also surged to rank 12th in terms of economic value worldwide.

A Decade of Unstoppable Growth

BTC

From its humble beginnings in 2009, when Bitcoin was worth less than a cent, it has seen meteoric growth. A pivotal moment came in 2017, when Bitcoin’s market capitalisation crossed $100 billion for the first time. By 2021, it achieved a record-breaking $1.28 trillion cap, trading at $67,617 per BTC.

Bull Runs and Market Dynamics

BTC

Bitcoin’s journey to prominence has been marked by thrilling bull runs. The latest surge began during the 2020 U.S. elections, with BTC breaking the $100,000 mark in a wave of investor confidence. Between November 2020 and February 2021 alone, Bitcoin saw a jaw-dropping 321% growth, shattering the $1 trillion market cap barrier.

From Concept to Economic Powerhouse

Initially designed by the enigmatic Satoshi Nakamoto as a decentralised transaction tool, Bitcoin has evolved into a global economic force. It has consistently outperformed expectations, drawing attention from investors, governments, and tech innovators alike.

Bitcoin’s ascent highlights its resilience and growing influence in the global financial landscape, redefining the way we perceive currency and economic power.

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coinbase

The cryptocurrency market is witnessing an intriguing shift as brief correction of Bitcoin sparks investor interest in altcoins. With traders eyeing diversification, the evolving narrative could redefine the digital asset landscape.

Bitcoin’s Correction and Recovery

After a minor pullback, Bitcoin experienced a strong rebound, surging past the $95,000 mark by Tuesday morning. This recovery underscores BTC’s enduring dominance, even as its position faces challenges from emerging assets.

Altcoins Steal the Spotlight

Investors are increasingly diversifying into altcoins, signalling a potential pivot in market sentiment. Assets beyond Bitcoin, often driven by innovative use cases and niche communities, are attracting traders seeking higher returns and portfolio variety.

Bitcoin

Activity in crypto derivatives markets highlights the high-stakes nature of this space. Recent liquidations serve as a reminder of the risks associated with volatile trading. Traders are emphasising strategic planning and adaptability as they navigate this dynamic market environment.

Future Trajectory for Digital Assets

This evolving trend could shape the next phase of the crypto market cycle. As Bitcoin maintains its foothold in performance metrics, altcoins’ rising popularity points to a more balanced ecosystem where diversification plays a crucial role.

The ongoing developments reinforce the importance of vigilance, strategy, and staying informed in a market that continues to redefine financial norms.

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