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Metaplanet buys 2,204 Bitcoin worth $237 million

Japan-based Metaplanet has cemented its position as a major player in the corporate Bitcoin space after purchasing 2,204 BTC for approximately $237 million. This latest acquisition brings the company’s total Bitcoin holdings to 15,555 BTC, making it the fifth-largest corporate holder of the digital asset globally.

The company disclosed the purchase in a filing on Monday, stating that the coins were acquired at an average price of 15,640,253 Japanese yen per Bitcoin, or around 107,700 US dollars. Across all its acquisitions, Metaplanet has now spent an average of nearly 99,985 dollars per coin.

Metaplanet overtakes Tesla and CleanSpark

This recent accumulation follows a series of aggressive Bitcoin purchases by Metaplanet in recent weeks. In late June, the company overtook Tesla’s Bitcoin holdings by acquiring 1,234 BTC, bringing its total to 12,345 BTC. Tesla currently holds 11,509 BTC, a position it has maintained without significant additions in recent months.

Shortly afterwards, Metaplanet surpassed the Bitcoin mining firm CleanSpark. A separate transaction disclosed on 30 June revealed the purchase of an additional 1,005 BTC for 108 million dollars, lifting Metaplanet’s holdings above CleanSpark’s 12,502 BTC.

Corporate treasuries fuel Bitcoin demand

Metaplanet is not alone in its Bitcoin accumulation. The largest corporate holder remains Strategy, which added 4,980 BTC for 531.1 million dollars on 30 June. With this acquisition, Strategy now holds a staggering 597,325 BTC, purchased at an average of 70,982 dollars per coin, with the total value of the holdings amounting to roughly 42.4 billion dollars.

Metaplanet’s 2025 Bitcoin holdings chart, last buy missing. Source: BitcoinTreasuries.NET

Metaplanet’s 2025 Bitcoin holdings chart, last buy missing. Source: BitcoinTreasuries.NET

The corporate interest does not stop there. ProCap, founded by crypto entrepreneur Anthony Pompliano, made its first major Bitcoin purchase in late June, buying 3,724 BTC for 386 million dollars. Similarly, healthcare technology company Semler Scientific announced plans to increase its Bitcoin holdings dramatically, aiming to go from 3,808 BTC to a target of 105,000 BTC.

Analysts warn of potential risks

While corporate enthusiasm around Bitcoin continues to rise, not all analysts are convinced of its long-term sustainability. James Check, lead analyst at blockchain data firm Glassnode, expressed scepticism about the future prospects of Bitcoin-focused treasury strategies. He suggested that the major upside may already be behind for new corporate entrants.

“For many new entrants, it could already be over,” Check commented, pointing out that investors typically value early movers in a space. He argued that companies arriving late to the Bitcoin accumulation trend may struggle to capture the same level of investor interest or returns.

A recent report by venture capital firm Breed echoed these concerns. It warned that only a limited number of Bitcoin treasury companies are likely to succeed in the long run, with many others potentially entering what it called a “death spiral” due to unsustainable strategies or overexposure.

Growing interest amid rising prices

The surge in corporate purchases coincides with a period of renewed optimism in the crypto market. Bitcoin has seen its price hover above the 100,000 dollar mark in recent weeks, increasing confidence among institutional investors. At the time of Metaplanet’s most recent purchase, Bitcoin was trading around 108,342 dollars.

As more companies look to add digital assets to their balance sheets, the competition for recognition and return on investment is intensifying. For early movers like Metaplanet, the strategy has so far paid off in global visibility and growing investor interest. But for those arriving later, the path to similar success may be more uncertain.

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Addentax

Chinese textile manufacturer Addentax Group Corp. (NASDAQ: ATXG) has stunned the financial and crypto markets by announcing a substantial increase in its Bitcoin acquisition plan. The company has entered a non-binding term sheet to purchase up to 12,000 BTC, raising the total value of the proposed deal to a staggering $1.3 billion. This move marks a 50% jump from the 8,000 BTC target disclosed just two months ago in May 2025.

Despite operating in a traditional industry, Addentax is embracing digital assets as a strategic investment, becoming one of the latest, institutional players to join the Bitcoin bandwagon amid ongoing market uncertainty.

Share-Based Settlement for a Massive Crypto Play

What makes the deal particularly interesting is the financing structure. Instead of using cash reserves, Addentax intends to settle the purchase using newly issued shares. This creative mechanism allows the company to make a substantial bet on digital assets without draining operational liquidity.

Bitcoin price chart showing current market performance – Source: TradingView

Bitcoin price chart showing current market performance – Source: TradingView

Such a structure might be innovative, but it doesn’t come without risk. Addentax’s market capitalisation is only $6.83 million, dwarfed by the $1.3 billion Bitcoin acquisition. The resulting share dilution could significantly affect existing shareholders, depending on the final pricing and issuance terms, which are still under negotiation.

CEO Hong Zhida justified the move, stating:

“The company believes that certain established digital assets may serve as a stable component of the Company’s long-term holdings, given their liquidity and increasing institutional interest over recent years.”

Balancing Ambition with Regulatory and Market Realities

Addentax’s strategic pivot toward Bitcoin comes at a time of high market volatility and mounting regulatory scrutiny. The company’s stock has been trading below $1 for over a year, placing it at risk of Nasdaq delisting unless it regains compliance with the minimum bid price requirement within 180 days.

This makes the deal doubly complex, as Addentax must navigate not only the logistics of acquiring and securing 12,000 BTC, but also the regulatory maze surrounding large-scale digital asset investments. Finalisation of the deal is still pending due diligence, pricing negotiations, and regulatory approvals, all of which may introduce delays or even jeopardise the acquisition entirely.

Implications for the Broader Market

If successful, Addentax’s entry into the Bitcoin market could signal a broader shift among non-tech and non-financial firms toward crypto as a treasury asset. This would mirror the pioneering moves by companies like MicroStrategy, though Addentax’s industry background makes its decision particularly noteworthy.

However, critics argue that the timing and scale of the investment are risky, especially given Bitcoin’s price fluctuations and the company’s precarious stock position. Yet, should the acquisition succeed and Bitcoin prices rally, Addentax may not only stabilise its financials but also emerge as a case study in corporate crypto adoption.

Addentax’s $1.3 billion Bitcoin acquisition plan is both ambitious and unconventional, especially for a traditional Chinese textile firm with a modest market cap. While the deal remains unconfirmed and carries significant execution and regulatory risks, it reflects growing institutional interest in Bitcoin as a long-term asset class.

Whether it turns into a bold masterstroke or a cautionary tale will depend heavily on regulatory approval, market movements, and Addentax’s ability to convince stakeholders that its Bitcoin strategy is more than just a speculative play.

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Bitcoin (BTC) appears poised for another significant rally, with recent market signals hinting at an imminent price surge. Analysts suggest that a large cluster of short liquidations near $111,320 and a breakout from a bullish technical pattern could push Bitcoin into price discovery territory.

Funding Rates Flip Negative – A Historical Rally Signal

Bitcoin’s perpetual futures funding rate briefly turned negative in late June, a development that has historically preceded major upward price movements. When funding rates dip below zero, it means that short sellers are paying fees to long traders, indicating prevailing bearish sentiment.

Interestingly, such a sentiment shift during an ongoing price uptrend often sets the stage for a short squeeze. The market has seen similar patterns before. In September 2024 and July 2023, Bitcoin experienced negative funding rate flips followed by price surges of 80% and 150%, respectively.

This past month, BTC’s spot price climbed from under $100,000 to over $108,000 during the period when funding rates turned negative, echoing these earlier rallies.

Short Squeeze Potential as Liquidation Cluster Builds

Market data suggests that a substantial number of short positions could be vulnerable if Bitcoin’s price rises just slightly higher. The $111,320 price level is currently the most concentrated zone of potential short liquidations over the past three months. According to data from CoinGlass, around $520.31 million in leveraged positions are at risk at this threshold.

Binance BTC/USDT liquidation heatmap (3 months). Source: CoinGlass

Binance BTC/USDT liquidation heatmap (3 months). Source: CoinGlass

If Bitcoin taps this liquidity, it could trigger a cascade of short liquidations. This phenomenon, known as a short squeeze, forces traders holding short positions to buy back into the market to cover their losses—driving the price even higher in the process.

Bull Flag Breakout Points to $117,500 Target

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has broken out of a bull flag pattern on the daily chart—a bullish continuation setup that typically appears after a strong upward movement, followed by consolidation.

The breakout above the flag’s upper trendline suggests the beginning of a new upward leg. Measuring from the previous flagpole, the projected target of this pattern is near $117,500. This projection aligns closely with a recent forecast by Markus Thielen, head of research at 10x Research, who predicts BTC could reach $116,000 by the end of July.

Funding Rates Recover as Market Momentum Builds

Following the brief dip into negative territory, funding rates have recovered and turned positive once again. This shift suggests that the bearish reset may have run its course and the market could now be entering a new bullish phase.

BTC/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

BTC/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

The return to positive funding, combined with price consolidation above key resistance zones and technical breakout patterns, presents a strong case for upward continuation in the weeks ahead.

Bitcoin Price Discovery Could Accelerate Above $111K

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $110,280. With the next major resistance level and liquidation cluster sitting just above at $111,320, analysts believe that surpassing this price could open the floodgates for a sharp move higher.

Should a short squeeze occur, and technical targets hold, Bitcoin could quickly advance toward the $117,000 mark, entering a new price discovery phase and potentially setting the tone for further gains into Q3 2025.

Investors and traders will be closely watching for volatility around the $111,000 level in the coming days, as market structure, sentiment, and liquidity all appear aligned for a high-impact move.

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bakkt

Bakkt Holdings Inc., a crypto software firm owned by the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange has announced plans to raise up to $1 billion through a shelf registration, according to a recent filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This move could pave the way for the firm to start buying Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as part of its updated treasury strategy.

What is Bakkt’s $1B Shelf Registration?

A shelf registration allows a company to register a large number of securities in advance, which it can then sell over time without having to file separate paperwork for each offering. This gives companies quick access to capital markets when market conditions are favourable.

Bakkt’s filing reveals it could issue up to $1 billion worth of a mix of:

  • Class A common stock

  • Preferred stock

  • Debt securities

  • Warrants

  • Or combinations of these instruments

Importantly, the filing also confirmed Bakkt has updated its investment policy to allow the purchase of Bitcoin and other digital assets as part of its corporate and treasury strategy. However, as of now, the company has not made any actual crypto purchases.

An excerpt of Bakkt’s regulatory filing. Source: SEC

An excerpt of Bakkt’s regulatory filing. Source: SEC

“We may acquire Bitcoin or other digital assets using excess cash, proceeds from future equity or debt financings, or other capital sources,” the company stated in its filing.

Bitcoin Buys – A Strategic Shift

This filing marks a significant shift in Bakkt’s approach. Originally launched in 2018, the company focused on building infrastructure for digital asset payments and custody. Now, it seems Bakkt is leaning more into holding crypto assets themselves, similar to how companies like MicroStrategy and Tesla added Bitcoin to their balance sheets.

The updated investment policy allows Bakkt to make such purchases when the timing is right. However, the firm clarified that any Bitcoin or crypto buys will depend on:

  • Market conditions

  • Business performance

  • Capital availability

  • Strategic opportunities

This flexibility could allow Bakkt to move swiftly during bullish market periods or when digital asset prices dip.

Financial Struggles and ‘Going Concern’ Warning

Despite this bold move, Bakkt is facing serious financial headwinds.

In its SEC filing, Bakkt openly admitted to a “limited operating history” and a “history of operating losses.” More concerning, it also flagged “substantial doubt” about its ability to continue operating as a “going concern” an accounting term indicating a risk that the company may not be able to meet its financial obligations in the near future.

Bakkt’s recent troubles have included the loss of key clients. In March, its stock fell over 30% after announcing that Bank of America and Webull would not renew their commercial agreements with the firm.

Market Reaction and Bakkt’s Outlook

After the announcement of the shelf offering, Bakkt’s share price saw a small 3% rise, closing at $13.33. However, the stock remains down 46% year-to-date, highlighting ongoing investor concern over the firm’s future performance.

BKKT price year-to-date. Source: Google Finance

BKKT price year-to-date. Source: Google Finance

Despite these challenges, Bakkt remains bullish on the broader crypto market. In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), the firm responded positively to the growing number of crypto IPOs, including those from Circle, eToro, and Gemini.

“These developments bring validation, visibility, and maturity to the market,” Bakkt said, hinting that the crypto industry is once again gaining real momentum.

Bakkt’s $1 billion shelf offering signals a renewed focus on crypto assets, potentially aligning the firm with other major companies that have diversified into digital assets. While this could be a strategic opportunity to ride the next crypto bull run, investors should remain cautious given the company’s financial instability and the uncertainty around its operations.

The next few months will be crucial. Whether Bakkt becomes a new corporate Bitcoin holder or continues to struggle financially may depend on market sentiment, successful capital raising, and clear execution of its updated strategy.

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Bitcoin Treasury

As Bitcoin’s price continues to set new all-time highs in 2025, miner behaviour is shifting dramatically. Rather than capitalising on the surge, major players in the mining industry are choosing to accumulate Bitcoin, while the oldest holders—known as “Satoshi-era” miners—are showing near-unprecedented levels of restraint.

According to new research from on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant, Bitcoin miners are displaying “rare behaviour” as they opt to increase reserves rather than offload holdings, despite mounting financial pressure.

Largest Miners Increase BTC Holdings

Since April 2025, miners have added approximately 4,000 BTC to their reserves, taking the total to 65,000 BTC. This marks the highest collective holding since November 2024, when a brief selling wave followed Bitcoin’s rally past the previous all-time high of $73,800.

Interestingly, this buying behaviour is not limited to small players. CryptoQuant’s data shows that miners holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC are leading this trend, reflecting strong confidence in the asset’s long-term value. The shift in strategy comes even as Bitcoin’s price has climbed above $107,000.

Bitcoin Miner Total Outflows (screenshot). Source: CryptoQuant

Bitcoin Miner Total Outflows (screenshot). Source: CryptoQuant

The report notes that miner selling has dropped significantly, with outflows falling from a daily peak of 23,000 BTC in February 2025 to around 6,000 BTC in recent weeks. Transfers from miners directly to exchanges are also at historically low levels.

Despite Record Prices, Miners Remain “Underpaid”

This holding behaviour comes at a cost. According to CryptoQuant, Bitcoin miners are currently experiencing one of their least profitable periods in the past year. Daily revenues have slumped to $34 million as of June 22—the lowest since April 20—due to a combination of lower transaction fees and a modest dip in BTC/USD prices.

“Bitcoin miners are the most underpaid they have been in the last year as daily revenues decline to two-month lows,” the report notes.

The network’s hashrate—a key measure of mining activity—has also declined by 3.5% over the past ten days. This is the sharpest drawdown since July 2024, following the most recent Bitcoin halving event, which slashed block rewards by 50% and significantly impacted miners’ income streams.

Despite these economic pressures, CryptoQuant suggests that the average miner’s 48% operating margin is enough to encourage continued accumulation. This indicates that many miners remain optimistic, preferring to hold their assets in anticipation of further price appreciation rather than cashing out prematurely.

“Satoshi-era” Miners Shift Strategy

Perhaps the most notable change is among the earliest Bitcoin miners, often referred to as “Satoshi-era” miners. These participants, who acquired BTC in Bitcoin’s earliest years, typically move their coins during strong bull markets, often signalling a market top.

However, 2025 has broken from this tradition. CryptoQuant reports that Satoshi-era miners have sold just 150 BTC this year—a stark contrast to the 10,000 BTC they offloaded in 2024. This year’s figures represent a dramatic slowdown in distribution from these historic holders.

“Historically, old miners from the Satoshi-era usually move their coins after a strong price rally, indicating a potential market top,” the report states. “Selling from Satoshi-era miners remains at low levels.”

This behaviour suggests that even the most seasoned Bitcoin holders see further upside potential in the current cycle. Their restraint may also serve to boost market confidence, reducing perceived sell pressure and reinforcing bullish sentiment among newer investors.

Miner Capitulation Gives Way to Bullish Indicators

Adding further weight to the positive outlook, earlier this month, CryptoQuant highlighted a classic “buy” signal from the Hash Ribbons metric. This tool, which tracks miner capitulation periods to identify local price bottoms, now suggests that a fresh upward phase may be underway.

Hash Ribbons historically indicate that when weaker miners shut down operations due to unprofitability and stronger miners consolidate, the market is likely approaching a recovery or new rally.

Bitcoin Satoshi-era Miner netflows (screenshot). Source: CryptoQuant

Bitcoin Satoshi-era Miner netflows (screenshot). Source: CryptoQuant

The combination of reduced miner outflows, increased holdings by mid-sized miners, and extremely low selling from Satoshi-era wallets paints a picture of growing conviction in the long-term value of Bitcoin—even at record price levels.

Conclusion

While Bitcoin’s rapid ascent in 2025 could logically invite significant profit-taking, the opposite appears to be occurring. Faced with reduced revenues and operating in a post-halving environment, miners are nonetheless accumulating BTC and tightening their grip on existing reserves.

The behaviour of Satoshi-era miners in particular marks a notable deviation from historical norms. Their near-complete withdrawal from the market hints at continued bullishness and could help sustain Bitcoin’s upward trajectory in the months ahead.

As the crypto market watches closely, one thing is clear: miners—past and present—are betting big on Bitcoin’s future.

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Bitcoin Treasury

Entrepreneur Anthony Pompliano has announced a groundbreaking $1 billion deal to establish ProCap Financial, marking a historic milestone in Bitcoin treasury management. This merger combines ProCap BTC with Columbus Circle Capital I, creating the largest Bitcoin-focused treasury powerhouse to date.

The deal includes $500 million in equity and $250 million in convertible notes, reflecting a growing trend of institutional adoption. This approach builds on the model set by MicroStrategy, which currently holds over $63 billion in Bitcoin, showcasing how firms are leveraging Bitcoin to hedge against inflation and diversify reserves.

ProCap’s Innovative Revenue Model

Unlike traditional treasury management companies, ProCap Financial aims to generate profits beyond Bitcoin appreciation. The company plans to use its Bitcoin holdings for lending, derivatives, and financial services, providing diversified revenue streams while mitigating market volatility.

“Our objective is to develop a platform that will not only acquire Bitcoin for our balance sheet but will also implement risk-mitigated solutions to generate sustainable revenue and profits from our Bitcoin holdings,” said Pompliano.

This revolutionary approach could set a precedent for how companies manage crypto assets, highlighting Bitcoin’s potential as both a store of value and a tool for active financial growth.

Institutional Backing Signals Confidence

The merger has garnered significant institutional support, with contributions from leading financial players such as Citadel, Susquehanna, Jane Street, and Magnetar. Crypto-focused firms including Off the Chain Capital, Pantera, Coinfund, Parafi, Blockchain.com, and FalconX have also backed the deal.

This diverse support underscores a strong confidence in Bitcoin’s role within institutional finance, particularly as traditional financial systems grapple with inflationary pressures and regulatory uncertainties.

Strategic Timing Amid Policy Shifts

The merger comes at a pivotal moment as President Trump explores cryptocurrency policy reforms, including the establishment of a strategic Bitcoin reserve. This aligns with a broader acceptance of Bitcoin treasury management among traditional institutions, addressing previous regulatory concerns.

Bitcoin treasury market growth chart – Source: Bitcointreasuries.net

Bitcoin treasury market growth chart – Source: Bitcointreasuries.net

ProCap Financial’s active management model and sustainable revenue strategy may inspire similar mergers, paving the way for corporations to explore Bitcoin as a key component of their financial strategies.

A New Standard in Crypto Treasury Management

This $1 billion transaction represents a significant step toward mainstream adoption of Bitcoin treasury solutions. ProCap Financial’s innovative approach and robust institutional backing could accelerate the integration of crypto assets into corporate finance, setting new benchmarks for the industry.

As inflation concerns and economic uncertainties persist, Bitcoin’s role as a financial asset continues to evolve, offering companies a compelling blend of stability and growth potential. ProCap’s success may signal the beginning of a new era for Bitcoin in institutional finance.

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Bitcoin ASIC producer Canaan has completed its first pilot production run in the United States, signaling a strategic pivot in its operations. This move mirrors its Malaysian manufacturing model and comes as the company sharpens its focus on crypto infrastructure by exiting the artificial intelligence (AI) hardware sector.

“Our core strength lies in crypto infrastructure and Bitcoin mining,” said Canaan CEO Nangeng Zhang. “Doubling down on these areas is the most strategic path forward for us.”

Canaan CEO Nangeng Zhang

Canaan CEO Nangeng Zhang

While acknowledging higher production costs in the US, Canaan views this initiative as a strategic hedge against tariffs and a long-term investment in resilience.

A Strategic Realignment for Growth

Canaan’s decision to exit the AI chip business underscores a commitment to focusing on its primary market—Bitcoin mining. By realigning its resources, the company aims to strengthen its position as a leading ASIC manufacturer.

Canaan controls 2.1% of the Bitcoin mining ASIC market. Source: Cambridge Digital Mining Industry Report

Canaan controls 2.1% of the Bitcoin mining ASIC market. Source: Cambridge Digital Mining Industry Report

Producing closer to North America enables Canaan to reduce delivery times, better meet local demand, and navigate geopolitical or regulatory challenges. This approach also aligns with industry trends, as competitors like Bitmain and MicroBT are expanding their production capacities in the US.

Navigating US Tariffs and Compliance

Canaan’s US expansion is driven partly by the complex tariff environment. Currently, ASICs produced in Malaysia are subject to a 10% tariff when shipped to the US. Tariff uncertainty on components and raw materials further complicates cost planning.

To ensure long-term commercial viability, Canaan plans to optimise its cost structure, manage production expenses, and respond to evolving customer demand. The company also emphasised its commitment to aligning with US technology and security standards, addressing concerns over national security compliance.

This comes in the wake of incidents like the US Customs and Border Protection Agency halting Bitmain ASIC deliveries in 2024 due to alleged ties between a Chinese supplier and a US-sanctioned firm.

A Long-Term Vision for US Operations

Canaan sees its US pilot production as a stepping stone toward establishing a more robust North American presence. “This is not just a hedge against tariffs,” a company representative said, “but also a strategic investment in building resilience and responding to future market shifts.”

The company aims to refine its US operations, ensuring sustainable production costs and scalability. As geopolitical uncertainties persist, Canaan’s efforts to diversify its production base could position it as a leader in the Bitcoin mining hardware industry.

Focused on the Future

Canaan’s pivot to core crypto operations and expansion into US production highlights its commitment to long-term growth and resilience. By addressing regulatory challenges and refining its cost structure, the company is poised to strengthen its position in the competitive Bitcoin ASIC market while adapting to the evolving global landscape.

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Bitcoin

U.S. President Donald Trump has reignited his feud with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, calling him “stupid” and accusing the Fed of hindering economic growth. Speaking from the South Lawn of the White House, Trump criticised the Fed’s reluctance to lower interest rates, claiming it is costing the U.S. economy billions.

“He’s a political guy who’s not a smart person, but he’s costing the country a fortune,” Trump remarked, asserting that interest rates should be two percentage points lower. The Fed has maintained rates between 4.25% and 4.50%, while Europe has implemented multiple rate cuts.

Interest chances of getting cut today | Source: CME FedWatch

Interest chances of getting cut today | Source: CME FedWatch

Despite Trump’s frustrations, market experts predict no immediate rate adjustments. The CME FedWatch tool suggests a 99.9% chance the Fed will hold rates steady in today’s meeting.

Inflation Worries and Policy Gridlock

Trump dismissed inflation concerns raised by Powell, arguing that inflation is not currently a threat. “If he’s worried about inflation, that’s OK. I understand that. I don’t think there’s going to be any. So far, there hasn’t,” he said.

However, Powell’s cautious approach reflects the Fed’s intent to avoid potential inflation spikes. Trump hinted that Powell’s decisions may be politically motivated, even joking about replacing him after his term ends in May next year. “I’d do a much better job than these people,” the President quipped.

Bitcoin Stagnates Ahead of Fed Announcement

Amid the political drama, Bitcoin has remained relatively stable. After briefly dipping below $104,000 yesterday, the cryptocurrency attempted to recover to $105,000 but fell back to $104,873 as of now. Market participants appear to be in a holding pattern, awaiting the Fed’s decision and guidance on future monetary policy.

If the Fed signals a hawkish stance to curb inflation, Bitcoin could experience a significant downturn, potentially dropping below $100,000. Conversely, hints of rate cuts later this year could reignite bullish momentum, pushing Bitcoin past $110,000.

What’s Next for Crypto Markets?

The Fed’s policy decisions are closely watched by cryptocurrency investors, as interest rates indirectly influence liquidity and risk appetite in financial markets. A prolonged high-rate environment could suppress Bitcoin’s growth, while lower rates might drive renewed interest in speculative assets like cryptocurrencies.

For now, Bitcoin holders and traders are eyeing today’s Fed meeting with cautious optimism. The balance between inflation control and economic growth will shape both traditional and crypto market trajectories in the months ahead.

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bitcoin

Bitcoin surged close to a fresh yearly high, driven by renewed hopes that the United States and China are on the verge of finalising their long-awaited trade agreement. The leading cryptocurrency peaked just under $110,300 before retracing slightly to $109,560, as per TradingView data. The price action reflects investor optimism following comments from US President Donald Trump, who claimed the deal is “done, subject to final approval” between himself and Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Trump’s Tariff Statement Boosts Market Sentiment

In a post on Truth Social, Trump said the US is set to impose 55% tariffs while China will apply 10%, declaring the trade relationship “excellent.” This comes after months of tension marked by reciprocal tariff threats that rocked global markets, including crypto. Analysts suggest the announcement has temporarily calmed fears, leading to a bounce in both Bitcoin and broader market sentiment.

Source: Donald J. Trump

Source: Donald J. Trump

Iliya Kalchev of Nexo noted, however, that Wall Street futures saw a minor dip, indicating some skepticism about the substance of the agreement. “While tensions over rare earth exports may be easing, concrete policy shifts remain to be seen,” he said.

China Confirms Trade Framework Progress

On the Chinese side, Vice Commerce Minister Li Chenggang confirmed that the two nations had reached an “in-principle agreement” to settle trade disputes through cooperative measures. Speaking to Chinadaily, Chenggang said the discussions in London were “candid and in-depth,” indicating both sides are serious about resolving outstanding issues.

This progress may bring much-needed stability to global markets, particularly crypto, which has been sensitive to geopolitical and macroeconomic disruptions.

Crypto Markets Recover from Tariff Shock

Earlier in April, Bitcoin had plunged to a year-to-date low of $74,434 after Trump announced new import tariffs. The news wiped out over $5 trillion from the S&P 500 and triggered a sharp drop in investor sentiment. Venture capital activity in the crypto space also slowed, with only 62 VC rounds recorded in May, a 2025 monthly low, according to Cointelegraph.

BTC/USD, 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

BTC/USD, 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

Aurelie Barthere of Nansen attributed the slowdown to a “combination of market prices and sentiment,” which had deteriorated amid heightened tariff tensions.

Relief Rally or Temporary Reprieve?

While Bitcoin’s recovery is promising, analysts remain cautious. Raoul Pal, CEO of Global Macro Investor, warned that much of the negotiation process may be “posturing,” with real concessions yet to be confirmed. Investors are now watching closely for formal approval from both nations’ leaders.

If finalised, the US-China trade deal could mark a turning point for global markets and fuel further upside for Bitcoin and digital assets. Until then, the market may continue to fluctuate on headlines, a familiar dynamic for crypto in uncertain times.

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Bitcoin

As the United States grapples with rising fiscal instability and mounting debt, Bitcoin is emerging as a preferred hedge, with analysts forecasting a meteoric rise in its price. According to Bitwise Asset Management, the world’s largest cryptocurrency could soar to $200,000 by the end of 2025, with its fair market value potentially hitting $230,000. This bullish outlook is backed by a confluence of macroeconomic triggers, surging demand from institutional players, and accelerating adoption of crypto investment products like ETFs.

Below, we break down the key catalysts fuelling Bitcoin’s rally and the broader implications for crypto markets.

US Debt Crisis and BTC Scarcity

The latest Bitwise report, authored by researchers André Dragosch and Ayush Tripathi, outlines how growing structural imbalances in the Bitcoin market are contributing to a supply-demand mismatch. The Bitcoin network produces just 165,000 new BTC annually, while demand from spot Bitcoin ETFs, corporations, and even sovereign entities is rapidly outpacing this supply.

bitcoin

As the U.S. grapples with inflation pressures and a widening federal deficit, Bitcoin’s fixed supply and decentralised structure offer a compelling alternative to traditional fiat-backed assets. Bitwise analysts argue that this scarcity makes Bitcoin uniquely positioned to benefit during periods of fiscal uncertainty.

Technical signals also support this thesis: the Optimized Trend Tracker (OTT), a key technical indicator, recently turned bullish for the first time since mid-2024, potentially signalling the beginning of a major breakout.

Institutional Appetite Accelerates with GameStop and ETFs

Institutional adoption is playing a significant role in Bitcoin’s upward trajectory. A growing number of public companies are now adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets. Bitwise reports that 79 listed firms now hold over $57 billion worth of BTC, a 160% surge year-over-year. This trend is being driven by a desire to hedge against inflation and diversify away from U.S. Treasury holdings.

gamestop

One notable example is GameStop, which recently acquired nearly 5,000 Bitcoin as part of its strategic pivot into the crypto space. In tandem, Bitwise launched a covered call ETF focused on GameStop (ticker: $GMEY), designed to capitalise on the stock’s volatility while offering income through options strategies.

“Crypto and GameStop share one thing in common volatility,” said Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan. “And the beauty of covered call strategies is that they turn volatility into income.”

This latest ETF adds to Bitwise’s growing suite of innovative products, including those tied to MicroStrategy and Coinbase, with more in the pipeline.

GENIUS Act May Reshape Crypto’s Future

Beyond market dynamics, regulatory clarity is proving equally critical to Bitcoin’s potential rally. The U.S. Senate has recently advanced the GENIUS Act, a bipartisan stablecoin bill that could lay the foundations for comprehensive crypto legislation.

Hougan described the bill as “the most important regulatory development in crypto’s history,” even more impactful than the SEC’s approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024. The GENIUS Act aims to formalise how stablecoins are issued and regulated, providing much-needed legal certainty in an industry long governed by patchy executive orders and interpretations.

Moreover, stablecoins have become major purchasers of U.S. government debt, making their regulation not only a matter of crypto market stability but also a national fiscal interest. Hougan believes political momentum is on the bill’s side, especially with growing Treasury dependency on stablecoin liquidity.

Bitcoin in Portfolios: High Reward, Lower Risk

One of the most compelling arguments in favour of Bitcoin’s growth is its evolving role in diversified portfolios. A Bitwise study comparing traditional 60/40 stock-bond portfolios with those that included 5% to 10% Bitcoin revealed a surprising outcome: portfolios with Bitcoin exposure outperformed on a risk-adjusted basis without significantly increasing overall volatility.

matt hougan

“The old days of 60/40 portfolios are over,” said Hougan. “Modern investors need to think in terms of stocks, cash, and crypto, adjusting the risk according to market conditions.”

This perspective aligns with the broader institutional shift toward crypto as a legitimate asset class, not just a speculative play. Bitwise currently offers spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, with pending applications for Solana, XRP, and Dogecoin ETFs awaiting SEC approval. The growing variety of regulated products gives investors safer and simpler access to digital assets.

A Crypto-Driven Financial Reset?

As fiscal strains mount in the U.S., Bitcoin stands at a critical intersection of macroeconomics, market demand, and regulatory transformation. With Bitwise projecting a $200,000 price target within the next 18 months, the cryptocurrency’s future appears to be tied not just to hype, but to deeper structural shifts in the global financial system.

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