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blackrock

In a significant shift within the cryptocurrency sphere, BlackRock, the world’s foremost fund manager boasting assets exceeding $10 trillion, has eclipsed MicroStrategy in Bitcoin holdings. The latest data showcases BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) now housing an impressive 195,985.3 BTC, valued at approximately $13.58 billion. This milestone marks a pivotal moment, highlighting the evolving landscape of institutional participation in the cryptocurrency market.

Divergent Paths to Bitcoin Accumulation

The achievement holds particular significance due to the divergent paths taken by the two entities to amass their Bitcoin reserves. While MicroStrategy diligently accumulated BTC since mid-2020, BlackRock made a recent foray into the cryptocurrency arena, capitalizing on the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs to swiftly amass a substantial BTC position.

blackrock

Under the leadership of CEO Michael Saylor, MicroStrategy acquired its BTC at an average price of $31,554, totaling a $6.1 billion investment. This investment has since more than doubled in value as Bitcoin continues to surge to new all-time highs.

BTC to USD by CoinMarketCap

BlackRock’s Swift Ascension

In contrast, BlackRock has been making waves with its significant daily Bitcoin purchases, totaling hundreds of millions of dollars. Amid outflows from Grayscale and its GBTC, BlackRock’s IBIT has emerged as a formidable player in the Bitcoin ETF market, swiftly reaching $10 billion under management and capturing half of the market share within just two months since its launch.

Future Trajectory and Implications

The race for supremacy in Bitcoin holdings among enterprises raises intriguing questions about the future trajectory of both BlackRock and MicroStrategy. Will Michael Saylor be able to reclaim MicroStrategy’s title as the largest Bitcoin holder, or will BlackRock continue to dominate the market? Regardless of the outcome, this competition signals a positive trajectory for the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem.

BlackRock’s surpassing of MicroStrategy in Bitcoin holdings underscores the shifting dynamics of institutional involvement in the cryptocurrency market. As these major players vie for dominance, their actions serve as indicators of the growing acceptance and integration of cryptocurrencies into traditional financial systems.

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crypto mining

Bitcoin miners are ramping up their operations at an unprecedented rate, driven by the recent surge in cryptocurrency prices and the looming prospect of a significant update to Bitcoin’s code. This surge in activity comes after a tumultuous period for the crypto industry, with miners now investing billions of dollars in equipment and consuming energy at record levels.

Mining Expansion Amid Crypto Surge

Following a recovery from the challenges of the crypto winter, Bitcoin miners are once again in growth mode. Fueled by the recent surge in Bitcoin prices and the anticipation of the upcoming halving event, mining companies are aggressively expanding their operations. Since February 2023, top mining companies have collectively ordered over $1 billion worth of specialized computers, aiming to enhance efficiency and secure favorable electricity rates.

bitcoin miners

The rapid expansion of mining operations has led to a surge in energy consumption. Last month alone, miners drew a record 19.6 gigawatts of power, a substantial increase from the previous year. This level of energy consumption is equivalent to powering approximately 3.8 million homes in Texas, where many mining operations are based.

Impact on the Bitcoin Market

The rise in Bitcoin prices has enabled miners to remain profitable, with some mining companies experiencing exponential growth in their stock values. Shares of leading miners such as Marathon and CleanSpark have soared by almost 600% and 900%, respectively, since December 2022. Additionally, these companies have raised substantial capital through share offerings, further fueling their expansion efforts.

However, the upcoming halving event poses challenges for miners, as it will significantly reduce their revenue streams by limiting the supply of Bitcoin. This reduction in rewards could push some miners into negative margins, leading to potential consolidation within the industry.

Risks of Rapid Expansion

The rapid expansion of mining operations also comes with risks, as seen during the previous crypto bull run. Many mining companies went public and raised substantial funds, only to face bankruptcy when the market crashed in 2022. The danger of compromising on energy costs and operational efficiency looms large, highlighting the need for prudent expansion strategies.

bitcoin miners

As Bitcoin miners gear up for the halving event and navigate the challenges of rapid expansion, the crypto industry is experiencing unprecedented growth. However, with soaring energy consumption and potential risks on the horizon, the sustainability of this growth remains a key concern for stakeholders.

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Best Crypto to Buy in 2024

As the cryptocurrency market continues to capture attention worldwide, investors are keeping a keen eye on the performance of major digital assets and looking for the best crypto to buy now. In this analysis, we delve into the latest trends surrounding Bitcoin, Ether, and Solana, offering insights into their price movements and potential future directions.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

best crypto to buy now

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

In a clear display of bullish strength, Bitcoin has maintained a solid uptrend, thwarting attempts by bears to halt its ascent. The recent resistance near $64,000 resulted in the formation of a pennant, but the bulls quickly reasserted their dominance by pushing the price above it on March 4. This breakout signals the commencement of the next leg of the uptrend, with potential targets set at the all-time high of $68,990 and a subsequent surge toward $76,000. Time is of the essence for bears, who must swiftly pull the price below $60,000 to have any chance of a comeback. Failure to do so could trigger stops for short-term traders, leading to a potential drop to the 20-day EMA at $56,250.

Ether Price Analysis

Best crypto to buy now

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Ether experienced profit booking near $3,600 on February 29, but the lack of a substantial bearish pullback indicates strong buying interest in every minor dip. Bulls are now challenging the formidable barrier at $3,600, and a successful breach could set the stage for the next leg of the uptrend, propelling the ETH/USDT pair towards $4,000 and possibly $4,150. While the upsloping moving averages reflect bullish control, the RSI’s extended stay in the overbought zone raises the possibility of a short-term pullback. Immediate support lies at $3,300, followed by the 20-day EMA at $3,129.

Solana Price Analysis

Best crypto to buy now

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Solana closed above the $126 resistance on March 1, but sustaining momentum has proven challenging, signaling a potential lack of demand at higher levels. The fate of the SOL/USDT pair hinges on its ability to stay above $126, paving the way for a resumption of the uptrend. A breach of the $138 level could see Solana surging to $143 and subsequently to $158. Conversely, a breakdown below $126 may lead to a retreat to the 20-day EMA at $116. Further weakness could expose the 50-day SMA at $104, suggesting a possible correction from the earlier breakout above $126.

As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, Bitcoin, Ether, and Solana showcase varying degrees of growth potential. While Bitcoin maintains its upward momentum, Ether faces short-term uncertainties amidst overbought conditions, and Solana grapples with sustaining bullish momentum. Investors should closely monitor these developments to make informed decisions in the dynamic crypto landscape.

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Bitcoin

In a bullish forecast for Bitcoin (BTC) investors, Markus Thielen, head of research at 10x, anticipates that the cryptocurrency will hit an all-time high before the week concludes. Thielen’s insights come amidst a backdrop of significant market movements and increasing institutional adoption.

Thielen emphasized the importance of weekend price action, noting that despite attempts to liquidate leveraged long positions, the absence of sellers is a notable factor driving Bitcoin’s upward trajectory. The cryptocurrency surged to an all-time high against the euro on Monday and, at press time, was trading just above $67,000, a 6% increase over the past 24 hours.

Bitcoin Market Momentum and Institutional Adoption

Thielen pointed out several bullish indicators, including a substantial decline of 63,000 bitcoins held on exchanges over the past month. Notably, Coinbase‘s balance dropped from 400,000 to 372,000 bitcoins in just one month, indicating a trend of decreased supply available for trading.

Additionally, Thielen highlighted BlackRock‘s recent launch of a spot ETF in Brazil, underscoring the growing global interest in cryptocurrency investment products. Volumes in Korea have also surged to $8 billion per day for five consecutive days, signifying a significant uptick in trading activity compared to previous levels.

Institutional Flows and Market Dynamics

The analyst discussed the flow of funds between major investment products, noting spikes in outflows from Grayscale’s GBTC product and inflows into BlackRock’s IBIT. Thielen expects movement into the BlackRock product to resume strongly this week, as investors gain confidence amidst Bitcoin’s upward price momentum.

Thielen speculated that if Grayscale‘s outflows drop to less than $100 million, Bitcoin could experience a substantial upward movement in price, further fueling investor optimism.

With growing institutional interest, declining exchange holdings, and optimistic market sentiment, Bitcoin appears poised for a significant price surge. Investors eagerly await the unfolding price action, anticipating the cryptocurrency’s ascent to new heights in the coming days.

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BlackRock’s IBIT

In a notable development within the cryptocurrency investment landscape, BlackRock’s IBIT spot Bitcoin ETF has crossed the $10 billion mark in total assets under management (AUM). The achievement underscores the continued dominance of BlackRock’s offering in the market, fueled by significant daily inflows and Bitcoin’s robust upward momentum.

Key Milestone Amid Market Rally

BlackRock’s IBIT Bitcoin ETF witnessed its second-largest daily inflows since its trading commencement on January 11. This milestone coincides with Bitcoin’s remarkable bullish run, marking its most substantial monthly rally since December 2020. With Bitcoin exchanging hands at $62,494 and recording a 22.67% gain over the last seven days, investor interest in cryptocurrency-backed ETFs has surged.

Impressive Performance

Per data from BitMEX Research, BlackRock’s IBIT spot Bitcoin ETF accumulated 162,697.9 Bitcoins, equivalent to over $10 billion in AUM, following a daily inflow of $603.9 million. This places BlackRock’s fund ahead of competitors such as Fidelity’s FBTC spot Bitcoin ETF and Ark Invest 21 Shares’ ARKB, which currently manage $6.4 billion and $2.1 billion in AUM, respectively.

Market Dynamics

According to Nate Geraci, President of The ETF Store, BlackRock’s achievement is noteworthy considering that only a fraction of exchange-traded funds possess over $10 billion in AUM, with the majority established over a decade ago. The emergence of nine newly launched spot Bitcoin ETFs, collectively holding over 344,000 BTC in AUM, further reflects the growing interest in cryptocurrency investment vehicles.

Inflows and Outflows

While BlackRock’s ETF experienced significant inflows, Grayscale’s converted GBTC fund encountered notable outflows, amounting to $598.9 million, the second-largest to date. Despite this, the net inflows of all U.S.-based spot Bitcoin ETFs totaled $92.4 million as of Thursday, though showing a decrease from Wednesday’s figure of $673.4 million.

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ETF

BlackRock‘s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) witnessed an astonishing inflow of $520 million in a single day on Tuesday, emerging as the second-largest daily influx among US exchange-traded funds. This surge highlights growing investor interest in cryptocurrencies, particularly as Bitcoin approaches its previous all-time high of $69,000.

Retail Traders Propel Rally Amidst ETF Surge

Analysts attribute the rally to retail traders, indicating a rising appetite for Bitcoin ETFs. With nearly a dozen spot Bitcoin ETFs introduced in January, investors now have an accessible avenue for exposure to the digital asset without direct ownership. BlackRock’s ETF, in particular, has seen inflows for 32 consecutive days, reflecting sustained investor confidence.

Anticipation Builds Around Bitcoin’s Halving Event

Further fueling the rally is anticipation for Bitcoin’s upcoming halving event, scheduled for spring. This event, reducing Bitcoin rewards for miners by half, underscores the asset’s scarcity narrative. Historical trends suggest that previous halving events have led to new all-time highs within a year, adding to the bullish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin.

As the crypto market continues to evolve, the influx of institutional and retail interest in Bitcoin ETFs signals a broader acceptance of digital assets within traditional finance.

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Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, renowned as Bitcoin billionaires, are set to give back $1.1 billion to customers of their cryptocurrency exchange, Gemini. This resolution comes as part of a settlement with the New York State Department of Financial Services (NYFDS), marking a significant development in the ongoing legal saga.

NY Lawsuit and Sloppy Fund Handling

The legal tussle began when New York filed a lawsuit against Gemini in October, accusing the platform of inadequately channeling user funds to Genesis Global Capital. The cryptocurrency lending firm, which faced a downfall in January, received funds through Gemini’s program called Gemini Earn. Promising users an 8% “low-risk” return, the program turned out to be high-risk, with Genesis having ties to the collapsed cryptocurrency exchange FTX in late 2022.

NYFDS Statement on Settlement

In a statement announcing the settlement, the NYFDS emphasized Gemini’s failure to conduct sufficient due diligence on Genesis Global Capital. This lack of diligence, coupled with the failure to maintain adequate reserves throughout the Gemini Earn program, led to significant reputational and monetary harm. Over 200,000 Earn customers, including nearly 30,000 New Yorkers, remain unable to access their virtual currency as a result.

Twins’ Journey: From Facebook Lawsuit to Cryptocurrency Evangelists

The Winklevoss twins gained public attention through their legal battle with Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg, which resulted in a $20 million settlement in Facebook stock. This stock, valued at $200 million when Facebook went public, became the foundation of their cryptocurrency venture.

Investing a portion of their windfall into Bitcoin when it traded at $10 apiece, the twins witnessed a substantial increase in Bitcoin’s value, with the cryptocurrency now exceeding $60,000 per coin. Despite the legal setback, as of February 29, Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss ranked 2107th and 2108th, respectively, on Forbes’s list of the wealthiest individuals, each boasting a net worth of $1.4 billion.

Gemini’s Role and Cryptocurrency Advocacy

The twins launched Gemini Trust Company in 2014, with the Gemini exchange commencing operations in 2015. Evolving into cryptocurrency evangelists, they utilized their fortune to influence Wall Street institutions to embrace cryptocurrency investments. Additionally, their political influence was felt through significant campaign contributions during the 2018 U.S. gubernatorial elections, supporting candidates like New York’s Andrew Cuomo and California’s Gavin Newsom.

In a 2019 interview, the twins emphasized the importance of trustworthiness in the cryptocurrency space, promoting their marketing campaign, “The revolution needs rules.” Tyler Winklevoss stated, “There are exchanges like Gemini that are trying to do it the right way and afford consumer protection and standards and safety that you would expect and require from any financial institution.”

As the Winklevoss twins navigate this settlement, the cryptocurrency community watches closely, anticipating the potential impact on their rankings and the broader implications for Gemini’s reputation.

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Amidst this bullish sentiment, Charles Hoskinson, the founder and CEO of Cardano, recently made a post on X (formerly Twitter) stating, “Let’s get Cardano support in Brave.” This post by Hoskinson came in response to a request from a Brave community member seeking support for the Cardano blockchain.

Cardano blockchain and named it “Please add support for the Cardano blockchain.” However, the community members are not clear about the purpose for which they are seeking support, whether it is for the Brave rewards or the Brave wallet, as one community member mentioned during the voting process.

It appears that the price of Cardano (ADA) is also being impacted by Charles Hoskinson’s recent post regarding Brave support. Currently, Cardano’s ADA is trading near $0.69, and in the last 24 hours, it has experienced over a 9% upside momentum. Examining Cardano’s ADA performance over a longer period, in the last 7 days, it experienced over a 15% upside momentum, whereas in the last 30 days, the ADA price has seen over a 40% upside momentum.

Cardano technical analysis and key levels

Despite all the support for Brave, on February 29, 2024, Cardano’s ADA hit a nearly 2-year high of $0.68 and is currently trading above $0.69. With this recent record-high, ADA is looking bullish, as its daily candle is expected to close above $0.69. According to expert technical analysis, if Cardano’s ADA closes above $0.69 on a daily time frame, it has the potential to reach the $1.2 level in the coming days.

As of now, the overall sentiment around cryptocurrency is bullish, as top cryptos like Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and many others have consistently experienced bullish trends in the last few days. These top cryptos have also encountered significant gains in the past 24 hours.

The major reason behind this massive price surge is the ongoing bullish sentiment. Another contributing factor to this surge is the recent accumulation of ADA tokens by crypto whales. Additionally, this week, analysts have observed that more people holding Cardano are experiencing losses rather than gains, as reported by the on-chain analytics firm Santiment.

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Despite the landmark launch of spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) spearheaded by industry behemoths BlackRock and Fidelity—ranking among the top five ETF launches in their initial month of all time—BTC’s price response has been notably subdued. Prior to the launch of these EFTs, BTC soared to a peak of $49,040 on January 11.

Fast forward to today and BTC is currently settling at $51,000, marking a modest appreciation of 4.3%. This tepid performance has puzzled market observers, particularly in light of massive net inflows of $5.278 billion into all Bitcoin ETFs within a mere six-week span. These could have been even significantly higher if there would have been $7.398 billion in outflows from Grayscale’s GBTC.

The Bombshell Discovery

Yet, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju may now have found the “real” reason that has had an even bigger impact on Bitcoin’s price action in recent weeks. Ju’s analysis highlights the transfer of over 700,000 BTC to Over-The-Counter (OTC) desks predominantly utilized by miners in the weeks succeeding the spot Bitcoin ETF approvals—an equivalent of approximately $35.6 billion at current prices.

He shared the below chart and stated: “700K BTC has moved to OTC desks used by miners over the past three weeks following spot Bitcoin ETF approval.” This revelation has sparked a reevaluation of the impact of such substantial transfers on the market dynamics of Bitcoin.

Ju later corrected his statement slightly and explained, “Got some questions about the data accuracy. These OTC addresses are not only used by miners. It could be used by other whales. We’ll let you know what addresses caused this spike,”acknowledging the complexity and multifaceted nature of these transactions.

The Bitcoin OTC Mechanism Explained

OTC desks facilitate direct transactions between two parties, unlike open exchanges where orders are matched among various participants. This method of trading can handle large volumes of Bitcoin without immediately affecting the market price.

When substantial amounts of BTC are bought or sold on public exchanges, the sudden increase in supply or demand can lead to significant price volatility. By opting for OTC transactions, large buyers, such as ETF issuers, can accumulate Bitcoin in vast quantities without triggering a steep price increase that would inevitably follow if these purchases were made on spot markets.

Thus, Ju theorizes that the issuers behind the newly launched Bitcoin ETFs are strategically purchasing Bitcoin via OTC desks. This approach serves a dual purpose: it allows these entities to fulfill the demand from ETF investors by securing enough Bitcoin to back the ETF shares while simultaneously mitigating the immediate price impact that such large-scale purchases would have if conducted on open exchanges.

The essence of Ju’s claim is that if the 700,000 BTC had been bought on the spot market instead of through OTC channels, the influx of demand would have likely propelled Bitcoin’s price significantly higher than the observed 4.3% increase. This subdued price action, therefore, could be attributed to the strategic use of OTC transactions by ETF issuers and other large-scale buyers.

However, there is also a silver lining. What will happen if the miners can only sell half of the current supply following the upcoming BTC halving in April, but the demand remains? Moreover, this constraint isn’t limited to miners alone.

Given that the OTC supply is finite and likely depleting rapidly, it appears inevitable that a supply shock could impact the market once the OTC reserves are fully tapped. When entities like BlackRock and others are compelled to purchase Bitcoin on the open market to back up their ETFs, the BTC price could react swiftly.

At press time, BTC traded at $51,030.

Bitcoin price

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Following the approval of U.S.-based spot bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in January, the cryptocurrency market is witnessing a significant impact on both prices and order book liquidity.

Notable Increase in Market Depth

BTC: Aggregated 2% market depth (Kaiko) (Kaiko)

Recent data from Paris-based Kaiko reveals that Bitcoin’s order book liquidity has reached its highest levels since October. The combined value of buy and sell orders within 2% of the market price surged to $539 million on Tuesday, marking a 30% increase since the introduction of spot ETFs on January 11.

Liquidity and Slippage Dynamics

Market depth, reflecting the combined value of buy and sell orders within 2% of the market price, is a crucial indicator of liquidity. The surge in market depth enhances the ease of trading large quantities at stable prices, thereby reducing slippage – the difference between quoted and executed trade prices.

bitcoin

The share of U.S. exchanges has improved sharply since October. (Kaiko) (Kaiko)

U.S.-Based Exchanges Lead the Way

Kaiko‘s data highlights that U.S.-based exchanges have played a pivotal role in the global bitcoin market’s increased depth. The share of U.S.-based exchanges in the global 2% market depth has surged from 14.3% to 48%, underscoring the impact of spot ETF expectations since October.

While the surge in market depth is promising, it still falls short of pre-collapse levels witnessed in November 2022. Before the collapse of FTX and Alameda Research, market depth exceeded $800 million, indicating potential for further growth and stabilization in the bitcoin market.

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