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Crypto Crime

A key promoter in a fraudulent cryptocurrency Ponzi scheme, Juan Tacuri, has been sentenced to 20 years in prison for defrauding thousands of investors, mainly targeting Spanish-speaking communities in the U.S. Tacuri’s sentencing was handed down by U.S. District Judge Analisa Torres.

Ponzi Scheme Disguised as Crypto Investment

Forcount, later rebranded as Weltsys, was marketed as a legitimate cryptocurrency mining and trading operation, promising investors high returns. The company falsely claimed that it could double investments within six months. Tacuri promoted the scheme through glamorous expos and events, using promises of financial freedom to entice victims.

Victims Unable to Access Funds

Though investors saw what appeared to be rising profits on their online accounts, they were unable to withdraw their funds. Meanwhile, Tacuri and other promoters were living lavishly, spending millions on personal luxuries, including real estate in Florida.

Many of the victims who invested in Forcount were from working-class backgrounds, losing significant portions of their savings. During Tacuri’s sentencing, over 20 victims shared statements about the devastating losses they experienced. U.S. Attorney Damian Williams criticized Tacuri’s exploitation, calling his actions “one of the oldest tricks in the book.”

Sentencing and Penalties

In addition to his 240-month prison sentence, Tacuri, 46, from Greenacres, Florida, was ordered to forfeit more than $3.6 million, including his Florida home. He was also sentenced to one year of supervised release and must pay $3.6 million in restitution to the victims of his scheme.

This case serves as a stark reminder of the dangers of crypto-related fraud, and officials have reiterated that “fraud does not pay.”

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Italy is set to increase the capital gains tax on Bitcoin from 26% to 42% as part of a broader tax reform aimed at bolstering public finances. The announcement was made by Deputy Economy Minister Maurizio Leo during a press conference on October 16, 2024. The proposed changes are part of Italy’s budget for 2025, which is awaiting parliamentary approval.

Targeting High-Value Gains

The new tax structure will primarily affect crypto investors with profits exceeding €2,000. The increase in tax rates is designed to capture more revenue from larger investors profiting from the rapidly growing cryptocurrency market. This shift could have significant implications for Italy’s crypto community, particularly for those engaged in high-value trading.

If approved, the tax hike could position Italy among the countries with the highest capital gains tax rates on digital assets. While it primarily targets large-scale investors, the broader impact on Italy’s burgeoning crypto market remains uncertain. Experts warn that such a steep tax increase may deter investment and stifle innovation within the sector.

Broader Tax Reforms Ahead

Alongside the Bitcoin tax increase, the Italian government is also proposing reforms to the Digital Services Tax (DST). Currently, the DST applies to online companies with global earnings of at least £750 million, including a threshold of £5.5 million generated within Italy. The new proposal aims to eliminate these thresholds, expanding the tax base to encompass more digital service providers operating in the country.

Financial Goals and Future Outlook

The planned tax changes come as Italy seeks to generate £3.5 billion from local banks and insurers to support its proposed budget. Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni highlighted that the funds will aid vulnerable communities and enhance essential services across Italy. The parliament is expected to vote on the budget proposal, which includes the tax increases, before the end of the year, with the new measures set to take effect in 2025.

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Bitcoin speculators are seizing the opportunity to lock in profits as BTC hits a three-month high, nearing $74,000. On-chain data shows that short-term holders (STHs) are leading the charge, sending large amounts of Bitcoin to exchanges for profit-taking.

Short-Term Holders Rush to Secure Gains

Data from analytics platform Glassnode reveals that Bitcoin holders who have owned BTC for 155 days or less are actively selling at current prices. As of October 14, 7,127 BTC, valued at roughly $480 million, was sent to Binance by STHs— the highest inflow since Bitcoin’s all-time high of $73,800 in March. This trend signals an aggressive profit-taking move as traders look to protect their gains.

Bitcoin STH transfer volume to Binance. Source: Glassnode

Bitcoin STH transfer volume to Binance. Source: Glassnode

Exchanges See Record Inflows

Binance isn’t the only exchange seeing significant inflows. According to Glassnode, the overall number of BTC being sent to major exchanges has surged, with daily totals this week among the highest since early June. These inflows suggest that STHs are capitalizing on the price increase after months of sideways market performance.

Positive Shift in Market Sentiment

STHs’ profit-taking comes as their Profit/Loss Ratio hits 1.2, breaking one standard deviation above its 90-day mean. This metric, as highlighted by Glassnode, indicates a potential shift in investor sentiment, with many traders feeling satisfied after months of stagnation. The profit dominance suggests that STHs are still in the green, even as the market navigates heightened volatility.

Bitcoin STH profit/loss ratio data. Source: Glassnode/X

Bitcoin STH profit/loss ratio data. Source: Glassnode/X

Supply Squeeze Points to Future Volatility

While demand for Bitcoin has slowed since the all-time high in March, supply availability is also tightening. Glassnode noted a growing divergence between supply and demand forces, which historically precedes periods of significant market volatility. This compression of active supply, coupled with rising demand, could lead to further price fluctuations in the coming weeks.

With Bitcoin whales holding 1.5 million BTC and short-term holders cashing out, the market is poised for a potential shift in the weeks ahead.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin reached a new high for October, surpassing $64,000 on Oct. 14. The cryptocurrency gained 2.1% in the last 24 hours, hitting $64,173, a level unseen since Sept. 30. This breakout follows a weekend of tight market movement, marking a significant shift in the market.

Massive Short Liquidations

As Bitcoin’s price surged, over $101.4 million in short positions were liquidated across the crypto market, according to CoinGlass. Bitcoin alone accounted for $52.33 million of this figure, with a total of 54,649 traders losing over $166 million. Ether shorts also suffered, with $27.26 million liquidated after the cryptocurrency reclaimed $2,500.

Altcoins in the Green

Several altcoins also saw gains, with Solana up 4.4% in the last 24 hours. High-cap altcoins such as BNB, XRP, and Dogecoin posted more modest gains, each rising less than 1%.

Bitcoin’s market dominance has surged back to over 58%, its highest level since April 2021. Many analysts believe the market is entering a bullish phase, with October historically delivering positive returns for Bitcoin. Bitcoiner Kyle Chassé expressed optimism, stating that the next big rally is not only possible but inevitable.

With Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies making gains, traders are keeping a close watch on how long this bullish momentum will last.

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Bitcoin has broken through the $66,000 mark, continuing its impressive rebound that has seen the cryptocurrency gain over 3% in October. On Oct. 14, after the Wall Street market opened, BTC surged as whale buying pressure and a buoyant market outlook fuelled the price rise. Data from TradingView shows that Bitcoin’s daily gains neared 5%, hitting two-week highs.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The rally began during Asia’s trading session and continued as United States traders pushed the market further, with analysts watching closely. Popular trading resource Material Indicators highlighted that Bitcoin whales were actively buying at current price levels, suggesting strong market support.

Key Market Levels Reclaimed

As Bitcoin reclaimed critical trend lines, popular analyst On-Chain College noted that key support levels like the 200-day moving average and the short-term holder cost basis were once again supporting the price. This upward movement is being seen as a possible shift into a bullish market.

“Has Uptober begun?!” the analyst asked, pointing out the importance of $65,000 as a key level for Bitcoin bulls to sustain a long-term trend change. Fellow trader Skew echoed this, describing the current price range of around $65K as a crucial area for the market to break and sustain.

Uptober Optimism Returns

After a relatively quiet period, the excitement around Bitcoin’s potential rally is growing. QCP Capital, in a bulletin to subscribers, pointed to historical trends that suggest Bitcoin could experience a strong end to the year. They noted that similar price rallies occurred in the weeks leading up to US elections in both 2016 and 2020, where Bitcoin’s value surged significantly.

BTC/USD chart with trend lines. Source: On-Chain College/X

BTC/USD chart with trend lines. Source: On-Chain College/X

The average October gains for Bitcoin since 2013 have stood at 23%, leading analysts to wonder if history could repeat itself. With today’s rally sparking renewed optimism, the market is once again hopeful for a strong finish to the year.

Will History Repeat Itself?

While it’s still early in the month, the latest price surge has given Bitcoin bulls a glimmer of hope that October could deliver significant gains. Traders and analysts are now watching closely to see if the momentum can be sustained in the coming weeks.

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Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States saw a resurgence on 11th October, with $253.6 million in net inflows. This marked a significant break from three consecutive days of outflows, restoring confidence in the market.

Fidelity Leads Inflows

Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund led the surge, attracting $117.1 million in net inflows, according to Farside Investors data. ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF followed closely, pulling in $97.6 million, while Bitwise’s Bitcoin ETF secured $38.8 million—its largest inflow in 11 trading days. Invesco Galaxy and VanEck Bitcoin ETFs also saw positive movement, contributing to the overall net inflows.

BlackRock and Grayscale Show Mixed Results

BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) recorded zero inflows on the day, as did ETFs issued by Franklin Templeton, Valkyrie, and WisdomTree. Despite this, BlackRock remains the leading Bitcoin ETF issuer, with a total of $21.7 billion in net inflows. Meanwhile, Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust experienced a significant outflow, losing $22.1 million.

Flows for the US spot Bitcoin ETFs on Oct. 11 (Green). Source: Farside Investors

Flows for the US spot Bitcoin ETFs on Oct. 11 (Green). Source: Farside Investors

Recovery After Outflows

The inflow on 11th October more than covered the $140 million in outflows recorded between 8th and 10th October. It followed a notable 7.3% rally in Bitcoin’s price, reaching a local high of $63,360 before stabilizing around $62,530, according to CoinGecko data.

Ethereum ETFs Struggle

In contrast, Ether (ETH) ETFs continue to face challenges. On 11th October, seven of the nine US-based spot Ether ETFs recorded no inflows, marking the third such occurrence in the last five trading days. The combined Ether ETF flows resulted in a minor $0.1 million outflow, with all inflows coming from the Fidelity Ethereum Fund. Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust lost $8.7 million, while 21Shares, VanEck, and Invesco-issued ETFs showed no movement for over eight consecutive days.

The lack of demand for Ether ETFs, compared to Bitcoin, may be due to regulatory uncertainty and a cautious market sentiment amid the current US political landscape. Some analysts suggest that Wall Street may not fully grasp Ethereum’s complex roadmap, further dampening investor interest.

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The crypto market has experienced a turbulent day, with Bitcoin briefly trading below $59,000. This price dip has triggered a wave of liquidations across various exchanges, with over $188 million liquidated in the last 24 hours.

Bitcoin‘s value plummeted by approximately 4% on Thursday, reaching a three-week low of $58,930. The significant price drop contributed to a broader market sell-off, impacting most major cryptocurrencies. However, Uniswap’s native token, UNI, bucked the trend by rising ahead of an announcement regarding an upcoming layer 2 network.

Significant Liquidation Figures

Data from CoinGlass reveals that around 57,201 traders faced liquidation in the past day, with long positions on Bitcoin accounting for more than $150 million of the total. In stark contrast, only $38 million worth of short positions were liquidated during the same timeframe. Notably, the largest liquidation order occurred on a BTC/USDT trading pair on Binance, valued at $10.5 million, representing one-fifth of all Bitcoin long positions liquidated.

Institutional Selling Pressure

According to analyst J.A Maartunn from CryptoQuant, the sell pressure has been attributed to institutional investors on Coinbase. The Coinbase Premium, which measures the price difference of Bitcoin between Coinbase and Binance, has significantly dropped, indicating that U.S. investors are offloading their holdings. On October 8, the Coinbase Premium fell to -$41, and on October 10, it further declined to -$72.6, suggesting continued large-volume sales from U.S. investors.

Holding Steady Despite Liquidations

Despite the intense selling pressure, Maartunn noted that the liquidations are not linked to the infamous Silk Road Bitcoins, which remain intact in a wallet holding 69,370 BTC (approximately $4.1 billion). This indicates that while market volatility is high, certain significant holdings remain unaffected.

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Bitcoin hovered around $61,000 on October 10, following the release of the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The September CPI came in higher than expected, signaling persistent inflation pressures in the US economy. According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the index increased by 2.4% over the past year.

At the same time, US jobless claims surged to their highest levels since June 2023, creating a dilemma for the Federal Reserve. This divergence between rising inflation and growing unemployment has left economists questioning the Fed’s next move.

A “Nightmare” Scenario for the Federal Reserve

The mixed data has complicated matters for the Federal Reserve, with analysts labeling the situation a “nightmare” due to its conflicting nature. While the central bank recently cut interest rates by 50 basis points, traders are now speculating on whether further rate cuts are likely.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Crypto trader Michaël van de Poppe suggested that rumors of quantitative easing (QE) and more rate cuts could gain traction, potentially benefiting Bitcoin. Market indicators now show an 87% chance of a 0.25% rate cut at the Fed’s November meeting, according to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.

Selling Pressures Weigh on BTC Price

Despite optimism around potential Fed actions, Bitcoin’s price faced renewed selling pressures, partly attributed to movements of Bitcoin linked to the Silk Road case. QCP Capital highlighted the volatility, noting that while US equities rallied, crypto markets showed less enthusiasm.

US CPI 12-month % change. Source: BLS

US CPI 12-month % change. Source: BLS

“Selling pressures reignited, possibly due to news of more Silk Road BTC selling and PlusToken ETH selling,” QCP Capital stated. However, they remain hopeful for a bullish rally, with Bitcoin holding strong at the $60,000 support level.

Hopes for an “Uptober” Rally

Despite the current volatility, many analysts expect Bitcoin to recover before the end of the month. Historically, October has delivered an average of 23% gains for Bitcoin, leading traders to remain optimistic about the near-term price outlook.

With uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s next move, Bitcoin’s fate hangs in the balance as traders watch key support levels closely.

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Adam Back, founder of Blockstream and early Bitcoin developer, has dismissed claims made in HBO’s Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery that fellow developer Peter Todd is the elusive creator of Bitcoin, Satoshi Nakamoto. Back expressed confidence that Satoshi’s true identity remains unknown and is likely not someone who has been publicly speculated.

“I’m fairly confident that it’s nobody that has been talked about,” Back said. He highlighted that many skilled individuals understand cryptography, and Satoshi could easily be someone under the radar.

Why Bitcoin Doesn’t Need an Eccentric Founder

Back argued that Bitcoin’s lack of a prominent, public-facing founder is a positive factor for the cryptocurrency. He compared Bitcoin’s decentralized nature to companies with charismatic leaders, who often create risk vectors within projects.

Source: Peter Todd

Source: Peter Todd

“The absence of a public founder aligns with Bitcoin’s mission of becoming global electronic money,” Back explained. He added that it makes Bitcoin feel more like a discovery rather than a traditional startup, strengthening its position as a decentralized commodity.

Concerns Over HBO Documentary

The HBO documentary sparked controversy by naming Peter Todd as Satoshi Nakamoto, a claim Todd has publicly denied. The filmmakers based their argument on a 2010 BitcoinTalk forum post, suggesting Todd was controlling both his and Satoshi’s accounts. Todd’s response, critics argue, was sarcastic and misunderstood by the filmmakers.

Moreover, Todd didn’t join Bitcoin development until 2014, several years after Satoshi disappeared, and was studying for an arts degree in 2008, making him an unlikely candidate for the inventor of the Bitcoin protocol.

Importance of Correct Representation

Despite rejecting the claims, Back stressed the importance of early Bitcoin developers speaking to documentary makers to prevent the spread of misinformation. He noted that unreliable sources could damage Bitcoin’s image at a crucial time when the cryptocurrency is entering mainstream adoption.

The uproar surrounding HBO’s claims highlights the ongoing mystery of Satoshi Nakamoto’s true identity, a puzzle that continues to captivate the crypto community.

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Crypto Scams

Ireland’s Criminal Assets Bureau (CAB) has encountered a significant problem as they struggle to access $378 million worth of Bitcoin seized from a convicted drug dealer, Clifton Collins. The digital assets, which were confiscated in 2019, remain locked in 12 virtual wallets, with no means of retrieving the funds.

The Lost Keys to $378M

Collins, who had been running a large-scale cannabis-growing operation, invested in Bitcoin between 2011 and 2012, spreading his digital fortune across 12 wallets. To safeguard the funds, he recorded the wallet access keys on a piece of paper, which he stored in a fishing rod case. However, following a break-in and a cleanout of his property after his arrest, Collins claimed that the document had disappeared, leaving no way to unlock the wallets.

Seized Bitcoin Soars in Value

When the Bitcoin was initially confiscated by CAB, it was worth approximately $56 million. Since then, the value of Collins’ stash has skyrocketed to $378 million. Under Ireland’s Proceeds of Crime legislation, these assets were ordered to be handed over to the state, as they were linked to Collins’ illegal activities. However, without access to the private keys, the funds remain out of reach.

The discovery of the Bitcoin followed Collins’ 2017 arrest, when police found cannabis in his car. Further investigation revealed his operation spread across three rented properties in Galway, Meath, and Longford, where officers discovered a crop valued at €400,000. After being sentenced to five years in prison for drug dealing, Collins was forced to hand over assets worth €1.2 million to the state, including a million euros’ worth of accessible Bitcoin.

Future of Seized Bitcoin Unclear

The CAB has been left hoping for a technological breakthrough that could one day unlock the lost funds. Despite their inability to access the bulk of Collins’ Bitcoin, the CAB returned €8.6 million to the Irish exchequer in 2023—the largest recovery in 15 years.

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