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Bitcoin’s remarkable ascent to new heights came to an abrupt halt on Thursday, as traders were hit with a wave of selling triggered by fresh US inflation concerns. The world’s largest cryptocurrency had just shattered its previous record, surging past $124,000 for the first time, before swiftly reversing course.

At its peak earlier this week, Bitcoin was riding high alongside Ether, which touched $4,791.19, just shy of its 2021 all-time high. But optimism evaporated after unexpectedly strong wholesale inflation data from the United States rattled global markets, prompting a rapid sell-off across digital assets.

By Thursday afternoon, Bitcoin had fallen 1.72% to $118,243, with 24-hour trading volumes hitting an eye-watering $108.89 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. Ether also lost momentum, slipping 2% to $4,591.40.

From Inflation Hopes to Inflation Shock

The pullback marked a dramatic change in sentiment from earlier in the week. On Tuesday, a cooler-than-expected US consumer inflation report fuelled hopes the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates as early as September. That data sent Bitcoin, Ether, and equity markets surging, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq setting fresh records.

However, Thursday’s wholesale inflation figures painted a less reassuring picture. The higher-than-anticipated readings undermined rate-cut optimism, sparking fears of prolonged monetary tightening. This triggered broad profit-taking across crypto markets, ending Bitcoin’s record-breaking momentum almost as quickly as it began.

Technical Signals Show Short-Term Weakness

Market charts confirm the sudden shift in momentum. TradingView’s four-hour analysis showed Bitcoin’s strong upward trend persisting until 13 August, when it topped out near $121,000. From there, prices broke below a key upward trend line and slipped under the 50-period moving average, a sign of weakening short-term support.

Bitcoin 4hr chart, Source: TradingView

Bitcoin 4hr chart, Source: TradingView

While the 50-day moving average remains above the 200-day moving average, suggesting underlying medium-term optimism, the growing gap between Bitcoin’s spot price and its 50-day average points to possible increased volatility ahead.

Liquidation data further highlights the scale of the downturn. Coinglass reported over $1 billion in positions wiped out within 24 hours, with long traders bearing the brunt of the damage. Some $782 million worth of bullish bets were erased, impacting more than 219,000 traders. The largest single liquidation, a $10 million hit occurred on Bybit’s BTCUSD contract.

Medium-Term Outlook Still Favourable

Despite Thursday’s jolt, analysts caution against overreacting. The medium-term trend remains intact, buoyed by rising institutional participation, expanding adoption, and the broader momentum in risk assets. Bitcoin’s pullback, they argue, is a reminder of the market’s inherent volatility rather than a fundamental reversal.

Still, traders are bracing for choppier sessions in the near term, with inflation uncertainty likely to keep markets on edge. The challenge now is whether Bitcoin can stabilise above the $115,000-$118,000 range and mount another run towards its record high or whether inflation-driven fears will continue to weigh on sentiment.

For now, the cryptocurrency market stands at a crossroads: institutional confidence and adoption trends point one way, while macroeconomic headwinds tug the other. As Thursday’s events proved, even in a bull market, Bitcoin’s path is rarely smooth.

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bitcoin

The United States federal debt has reached a record $37 trillion, prompting renewed speculation that mounting deficits and expanding money supply could propel Bitcoin to fresh all-time highs in 2025. Analysts suggest the flagship cryptocurrency could reach $132,000 — and potentially even higher — if inflationary pressures drive looser monetary policy.

Debt Surge Linked to Potential Quantitative Easing

According to US Treasury data, the national debt has grown from $26.7 trillion in 2020 to more than $37 trillion today — a 38% increase in just five years. The spike follows the signing of the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” by President Donald Trump on 4 July, legislation he claimed would cut up to $1.6 trillion in federal spending.

Source: Thomas Massie

Source: Thomas Massie

However, critics, including Representative Thomas Massie, argue the measure is adding to the debt burden. “Thanks to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, the debt just officially passed the $37 trillion mark,” Massie said in a recent social media post.

Analysts warn that such fiscal expansion could push the government towards quantitative easing (QE) — large-scale bond purchases by the Federal Reserve that inject liquidity into the economy.

Correlation Between Debt and Bitcoin Growth

Bitcoin advocates point to a strong historical link between rising US debt and Bitcoin price gains. Since 2020, Bitcoin has surged over 925%, a trend Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget exchange, says is “directly correlated” with America’s debt trajectory.

“Ultimately, this will impact the American monetary system as a considerable amount of cash will be deployed into servicing this debt,” Lee explained. “The more the debt grows, the higher the likelihood of BTC price soaring to new highs.”

Lee also suggested that the US government may eventually explore Bitcoin as a potential tool to address its “massive national debt.”

Inflation and Money Supply as Catalysts

Elon Musk has voiced concerns over the fiscal outlook, warning in June that the bill could lift the annual deficit to $2.5 trillion. Servicing such debt, analysts say, may also expand the global M2 money supply — a broad measure of cash and deposits in circulation.

Source: Thomas Massie

Source: Thomas Massie

Jamie Coutts, chief crypto analyst at Real Vision, believes this could be the next major driver for Bitcoin. “Based on its correlation with BTC, the growing money supply could push Bitcoin above $132,000 before the end of 2025,” he noted. Rising inflation and monetary expansion, he added, could accelerate this move.

Predictions Vary, Some Far More Bullish

While the $132,000 target is already ambitious, some forecasts are even more aggressive. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and chief investment officer at Maelstrom, predicts Bitcoin could climb to $250,000 if the Federal Reserve shifts towards QE in response to inflationary pressures.

This would mark an unprecedented valuation for Bitcoin, solidifying its role as a perceived hedge against fiat currency debasement. However, such projections remain speculative, with market conditions and policy decisions likely to determine the final trajectory.

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Crypto ETFs

Bitcoin began the week on a high note, with prices touching fresh peaks before retreating as traders weighed the likelihood of a retracement towards the $117,000 mark. This comes after the creation of a new CME futures gap over the weekend, with analysts warning it could soon be filled.

BTC Surges to $122,000 Before Cooling

Following the weekly close, Bitcoin surged past $122,000, hitting $122,312 on Bitstamp before easing lower. The move triggered more than $100 million in short liquidations, briefly pushing prices within reach of all-time highs. Monitoring platform CoinGlass showed fresh resistance building above $123,000, while analysts suggested a pullback may be necessary before further gains.

BTC/USD one-hour chart.

BTC/USD one-hour chart.


Crypto trader Michaël van de Poppe cautioned that weekend moves often reverse, predicting tests of lower levels that could trigger “buy the dip” opportunities in altcoins. Meanwhile, trader BitBull noted a bullish signal in the low ratio of leveraged futures to spot buying — a sign the rally is driven by sustained spot demand rather than fragile leveraged positions.

Focus on the CME Gap
Weekend price action left a gap in CME Group’s Bitcoin futures, a phenomenon closely watched by traders. Such gaps are often “filled” when the market returns to the absent price range. Filling the latest gap would require a drop to around $117,200 — a key zone that recently acted as both resistance and support. Analyst Rekt Capital described this level as decisive for Bitcoin’s broader recovery trend.

Inflation Data in Spotlight
The market’s next major cue could come from US inflation figures. July’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) are due this week, with traders looking for signals on Federal Reserve policy.
Expectations for a September rate cut have strengthened, with CME Group data showing nearly 90% odds — up from 57% a month ago. A softer-than-expected CPI reading could boost risk assets, while a surprise increase may dampen sentiment. Analysts also point to rising unemployment as a factor likely to push CPI lower, potentially fuelling the rally.

Whales Hold Fire on Profit-Taking
On-chain data suggests large Bitcoin holders are not rushing to sell. CryptoQuant noted that whale transfers of Tether (USDT) exceeding $10 million often precede BTC corrections, but such activity has been absent in recent days. Previous spikes in whale USDT transactions on 16 and 23 July coincided with price drops of 4.5% and 3.8% respectively. The lack of similar moves now is seen as a positive sign for short-term stability.

BTC liquidation heatmap (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

BTC liquidation heatmap (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

Coinbase Premium Raises Questions
Despite the bullish tone, concerns remain over the strength of the breakout. The Coinbase Premium Index — measuring the price gap between Coinbase’s BTC/USD pair and Binance’s BTC/USDT pair — has turned negative. Analyst J. A. Maartunn questioned whether the surge from $118,000 to $122,000 was a “pump and dump”, noting the shift in premium immediately after the rally.
Cautious voices also emerged in the Ethereum market, with trader Roman warning that low trading volumes and bearish divergences could limit upside, despite ETH reaching its highest level since late 2021.

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bitcoin

As Bitcoin adoption surges among corporations, analysts are drawing historical parallels with gold’s path to nationalisation in 1971 raising concerns that governments could one day seize corporate-held crypto reserves.

Corporate Bitcoin Holdings Top $100 Billion

Corporate treasuries have now amassed more than $100 billion in digital assets, according to recent data. Bitcoin-focused treasury firms alone hold around 791,662 BTC, worth roughly $93 billion. This represents almost 4% of Bitcoin’s total circulating supply.

Source: Chris Kuiper

Source: Chris Kuiper

The surge in institutional holdings follows a trend of accelerating adoption. In the past two weeks, 35 publicly traded companies have each surpassed the milestone of holding more than 1,000 BTC on their balance sheets.

For Bitcoin advocates, these developments are a key step towards the cryptocurrency’s long-term vision of becoming a dominant global monetary standard. However, some analysts warn that growing centralised corporate ownership could also create a single point of vulnerability, making Bitcoin more susceptible to government intervention.

Parallels with the 1971 Gold Standard Collapse

Prominent crypto analyst Willy Woo has compared Bitcoin’s growing corporate concentration to the historical precedent of gold’s nationalisation path before 1971.

At the time, the US operated under the Bretton Woods system, which pegged the dollar to gold at $35 per ounce. As global pressures mounted, President Richard Nixon suspended dollar convertibility into gold, effectively ending the gold standard and seizing control of the nation’s gold reserves.

Pictured left to right: Willy Woo, Preston Pysh, Max Kei, speaking at ‘Bitcoin’s Institutional Phase: Trojan Horse or Tipping Point? panel at Batlic Honeybadger 2025. Source: Cointelegraph

Pictured left to right: Willy Woo, Preston Pysh, Max Kei, speaking at ‘Bitcoin’s Institutional Phase: Trojan Horse or Tipping Point? panel at Batlic Honeybadger 2025. Source: Cointelegraph

Woo suggested that a similar playbook could unfold with Bitcoin:

“If the US dollar is structurally getting weak and China is coming in, it’s a fair point that the US might do an offer to all the treasury companies and centralise where it could be then put into a digital form… You could then rug it like happened in 1971. The whole history repeats again.”

In such a scenario, governments could compel corporate custodians to surrender their Bitcoin holdings, centralise them, and potentially reissue them in a controlled digital format.

Why Whales Could Be Targets Too

The risk isn’t limited to corporate treasuries. Preston Pysh, co-founder of the Investors Podcast Network and Bitcoin venture fund Ego Death Capital, believes Bitcoin whales, individuals or private entities with large BTC holdings could also be targeted.

Preston Pysh, co-founder of the Investors Podcast Network

Preston Pysh, co-founder of the Investors Podcast Network

“They’re going to take the Bitcoin because it’s going to have an institutional custodian that does not want to go to jail,” Pysh explained. He added that initial targets would likely be private entities with substantial Bitcoin reserves, especially if these holdings are stored with regulated custodians.

In essence, the very institutionalisation that could drive Bitcoin’s mainstream acceptance may also make it easier for governments to locate and seize large pools of coins.

Massive Upside Despite Risks

Despite these nationalisation concerns, analysts remain extremely bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term potential. Woo points out that Bitcoin has grown into a $2 trillion asset in just 16 years and could still expand 100 times over decades to come.

Adam Back, CEO of Blockstream

Adam Back, CEO of Blockstream

He estimates a $100 trillion market opportunity, echoing similar forecasts from Adam Back, CEO of Blockstream, who has called Bitcoin a potential $200 trillion global market in the long run.

Back described the scenario as:

“A sustainable and scalable $100-$200 trillion trade front-running hyperbitcoinisation, scalable enough for most big listed companies to move to BTC treasury.”

Hyperbitcoinisation refers to the hypothetical future where Bitcoin replaces fiat currency as the dominant medium of exchange and store of value, driven by its fixed supply and decentralised nature.

The Balancing Act Ahead

Institutional adoption remains a double-edged sword for Bitcoin. On one side, it is essential for the cryptocurrency to achieve the scale necessary to challenge the US dollar and surpass gold as a global monetary standard. On the other, it introduces centralised chokepoints, corporate custodians that could be leveraged by governments to exert control.

The history of gold’s nationalisation shows that state intervention in valuable assets is not unprecedented. While Bitcoin’s decentralised design offers some protection, the concentration of coins in regulated institutions could undermine that safeguard.

As Bitcoin’s corporate boom accelerates, the coming years may determine whether this wave of adoption cements its position as the backbone of a new financial era or sets the stage for a modern replay of 1971.

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El Salvador is set to make history once again in the cryptocurrency world with its plan to launch the world’s first Bitcoin bank. The announcement came through the official X (formerly Twitter) account of the country’s National Bitcoin Office (ONBTC), highlighting El Salvador’s commitment to deepening its integration with Bitcoin (BTC).

If successful, this initiative will mark the first instance of a banking institution dedicated exclusively to Bitcoin, signalling a major shift in how digital assets are integrated into traditional financial frameworks.

From Legal Tender to Full-Scale Banking

El Salvador’s move should not come as a surprise to crypto enthusiasts and financial analysts alike. In 2021, it became the first country in the world to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, a decision that catapulted it into the global spotlight. This pro-BTC stance has since been a defining feature of its economic policy, inspiring debate and imitation in other parts of the world.

bitcoin bank

The country’s latest venture builds on that momentum, potentially setting the stage for an entirely new banking model. Bitcoin banks could provide deposit, lending, and transactional services denominated in BTC, making crypto integration seamless for individuals and businesses.

Potential Ripple Effect Across Nations

The establishment of Bitcoin banks in El Salvador could have significant global implications. Other nations, especially those exploring digital asset reserves, may be encouraged to follow suit. The United States has already taken preliminary steps in this direction, shortly after his inauguration, President Trump signed an executive order to establish a digital asset reserve, signalling Washington’s growing interest in cryptocurrencies.

Such moves could accelerate mainstream crypto adoption, particularly among populations seeking alternatives to inflation-prone fiat currencies. For many, Bitcoin has become a store of value to hedge against economic instability, in stark contrast to the steady erosion of purchasing power seen in traditional currencies like the US dollar.

Bitcoin’s Strong Market Performance Fuels Optimism

The timing of El Salvador’s Bitcoin bank launch coincides with a bullish BTC market. In July, Bitcoin surged to an all-time high of $122,838, cementing its status as one of the best-performing assets of the past 15 years. Industry sentiment remains optimistic, with several high-profile figures predicting further gains.

bitcoin

Binance founder Changpeng Zhao and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood are among those forecasting that Bitcoin could break the $1 million mark before the end of the decade. Should such predictions come true, early adopters, both individuals and nations stand to benefit immensely.

A New Era for Global Finance?

El Salvador’s latest initiative underscores a growing belief that Bitcoin is not just a speculative asset, but a foundational pillar of the future financial system. The integration of BTC into a fully licensed banking structure could redefine how digital assets coexist with traditional finance.

As the first nation to fully embrace Bitcoin in both policy and practice, El Salvador is once again positioning itself as a crypto trailblazer. If its Bitcoin banks succeed, they could serve as a blueprint for a new global banking model, one where decentralised digital currencies hold the same legitimacy and utility as government-issued money.

The coming years will reveal whether this bold experiment will inspire a wave of Bitcoin-centric banking across the globe or remain a unique hallmark of El Salvador’s economic identity.

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Investor Sentiment Wavers as Crypto Funds See Major Outflows

After 15 straight weeks of positive inflows, cryptocurrency investment products ended last week in the red. According to a report published on Monday by crypto asset management firm CoinShares, global exchange-traded products (ETPs) experienced $223 million in outflows.

This shift comes amid cautious investor sentiment following hawkish remarks made during last week’s US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The week had started strong, with $883 million flowing into crypto funds, but the trend reversed in the second half. The report attributed this to the FOMC’s tone and better-than-expected economic data from the United States.

Weekly crypto asset flows. Source: CoinShares

Weekly crypto asset flows. Source: CoinShares

The report also highlighted that investors may be engaging in minor profit-taking. Over the last 30 days, crypto investment products saw net inflows of $12.2 billion, representing 50 per cent of the year’s total so far.

Fed’s Stance Cools Hopes of Rate Cut
Market expectations of a US interest rate cut in September have diminished. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments led to a drop in the likelihood of a rate cut, falling from 63 per cent to 40 per cent, as reported last Thursday. The cautious approach by the Fed has contributed to the recent market pullback, reinforcing the growing link between traditional economic signals and digital asset performance.

CFTC Launches ‘Crypto Sprint’ to Implement White House Recommendations
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has launched a new initiative dubbed the “crypto sprint” to accelerate the adoption of crypto-focused recommendations from a recent White House report.

Announced by Acting Chair Caroline Pham, the CFTC plans to work in close coordination with Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Paul Atkins and Commissioner Hester Peirce on its “Project Crypto” initiative. Pham emphasised the urgency of the mission, stating the agency is committed to advancing President Donald Trump’s vision of establishing the United States as the global centre of crypto innovation.

Satoshi Nakamoto Statue Recovered in Lugano
In a symbolic event for the global Bitcoin community, the statue of Satoshi Nakamoto in Parco Ciani, Lugano, was recovered after it was reported stolen. Municipal workers discovered the statue broken and scattered along the shore and in the waters of Lake Lugano on Saturday.

Source: CFTC

Source: CFTC

The statue, created by Italian artist and Bitcoin advocate Valentina Picozzi, is considered an important symbol of the decentralised finance movement. Satoshigallery, the art collective behind the installation, responded with a powerful message on social media: “You can steal our symbol, but you will never be able to steal our souls.”

Looking Ahead
While the market correction may indicate short-term volatility, the broader momentum in crypto remains intact with $12.2 billion in net inflows over the past month. Regulatory developments in the US and strong symbolic acts of resilience from the crypto community continue to shape the evolving narrative of digital finance.

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Crypto ETFs

After a record-breaking July, the crypto ETFs market took a sharp turn on the first day of August. Investors unexpectedly pulled out nearly $1 billion from major U.S.-listed Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs), ending what had been a highly positive momentum for the sector.

A Sudden Pullback

On August 1, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs witnessed an astonishing $812 million in outflows, according to data from SoSoValue. This marks the largest single-day withdrawal in over five months and the second-biggest outflow of 2025.

Ethereum ETFs also saw a sharp decline. A combined $153 million exited the nine listed ETH products, ending a 20-day streak of consistent inflows. That streak had brought in over $5 billion, making the pullback even more unexpected.

Combined, the crypto ETF market lost a staggering $965 million in a single day, raising concerns about whether this is a short-term correction or a longer-term trend.

July’s Strong Performance

The August outflows sharply contrast with the exceptional performance of crypto ETFs in July. According to Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas, U.S.-listed crypto ETFs brought in $12.8 billion in new capital during the month. On average, these products attracted $600 million daily.

US Crypto ETFs Inflow in July. Source: Eric Balchunas

US Crypto ETFs Inflow in July. Source: Eric Balchunas

This made July one of the best-performing months in the history of crypto ETFs. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum products contributed to the gains, outpacing even traditional giants like the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO).

The sector’s impressive inflows were widely seen as a sign of growing investor confidence and renewed interest in digital assets.

Regulatory Tailwinds Fuel Optimism

Adding to July’s momentum was a positive shift in the U.S. regulatory climate. SEC Chair Paul Atkins introduced “Project Crypto,” a major policy move aimed at aligning U.S. securities laws with blockchain-based finance.

Atkins stated, “The SEC will not stand idly by and watch innovations develop overseas while our capital markets remain stagnant.” He emphasised that the agency is committed to supporting blockchain integration into U.S. markets, as part of President Trump’s broader plan to make America the global crypto leader.

Among other changes, the SEC approved in-kind redemptions for crypto ETFs and fast-tracked the review process for new exchange-sponsored crypto funds. These were widely expected to boost institutional participation and further legitimise the asset class.

Analysts Left Puzzled

Given the regulatory support and strong capital inflows in July, many experts are struggling to explain the sudden downturn. Nate Geraci, President of NovaDius Wealth, called the sharp August 1 outflows “surprising” and “at odds” with the broader momentum in the crypto space.

He added that the sell-off came at a time when digital assets were gaining mainstream traction, making it a “muted end to one of the most pivotal weeks for the digital asset space.”

While no clear reason has emerged for the sharp ETF pullback, some believe profit-taking could be a factor after July’s rally. Others suggest market participants may be reacting to macroeconomic shifts or preparing for increased volatility in global markets.

What Lies Ahead?

Despite the August 1 outflows, many in the industry remain optimistic. The regulatory environment is more supportive than ever, and the scale of inflows in July signals sustained institutional interest.

Whether this sharp correction is a temporary pause or the start of a broader trend will depend on upcoming market data, investor sentiment, and further regulatory developments.

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bitcoin

Bitcoin’s price has already stunned the financial world by reaching record highs. In July 2025, the cryptocurrency surged to an all-time high of $123,166 during Washington’s “Crypto Week,” fuelled by rising institutional interest and strong political support in the US. With Bitcoin now trading at over $117,000, many are wondering: could it realistically reach $1 million?

The 2025 Boom: What’s Driving Bitcoin Now

The latest Bitcoin rally can largely be attributed to a series of major developments in 2024 and 2025. Among them is the launch of several spot Bitcoin ETFs, including BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, which alone brought in over $1.3 billion within two days. By mid-2025, US Bitcoin ETFs had recorded $14.8 billion in net inflows.

Another major milestone was President Donald Trump’s executive order in March 2025 to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, holding around 200,000 BTC. The move was widely interpreted as a sign of growing institutional legitimacy and support from the highest levels of government.

Can Bitcoin Realistically Reach $1 Million?

The idea of a $1 million Bitcoin is no longer purely speculative. Experts point to several fundamental factors that support this potential rise.

Bitcoin’s capped supply of 21 million coins means it cannot be inflated like traditional currencies, often positioning it as a digital version of gold. Institutional interest continues to grow, further boosting its credibility and demand.

With over 560 million people now holding cryptocurrency—roughly 6.8% of the global population—the room for further adoption is significant. Additionally, investor sentiment is largely driven by the hope of massive returns. A 2025 survey by Security.org revealed that 67% of crypto holders invest mainly for profit, not utility, fuelling a constant fear of missing out.

Prominent voices backing the $1 million target include Cathie Wood, who predicts Bitcoin could hit $1.5 million by 2030 in ARK Invest’s bull case, and Michael Saylor, who claims Bitcoin will reach $1 million once Wall Street allocates just 10% of its reserves to it. Author Robert Kiyosaki also shares similar expectations.

What Needs to Happen to Reach $1 Million

To reach this ambitious price point, Bitcoin would require a market capitalisation of over $21 trillion—exceeding even gold’s value.

Institutional investment must increase substantially, as currently less than 5% of Bitcoin ETF assets are held by long-term institutions. Additionally, mass adoption is essential, with estimates suggesting that 20% to 40% of the global population (1.6 to 3.2 billion people) would need to own Bitcoin.

This kind of global adoption depends heavily on user-friendly infrastructure, financial education, and robust regulatory frameworks. Encouragingly, new US regulations such as the GENIUS Act and the Clarity Act in 2025 have already helped to clarify rules for digital assets.

Technological improvements are also vital. Innovations like the Lightning Network, which enhances transaction speed and lowers fees, play a crucial role in making Bitcoin more scalable.

Winners and Losers in a $1 Million Bitcoin World

If Bitcoin does reach $1 million, early adopters will be the biggest winners. Currently, around 900,000 addresses hold at least 1 BTC, and a small number of individuals and institutions control the majority of the supply.

One of the biggest beneficiaries would be Strategy, whose Bitcoin holdings would be valued at more than $600 billion. Early retail investors who bought Bitcoin for less than a dollar could become multimillionaires.

Satoshi Nakamoto, Bitcoin’s mysterious creator, is believed to hold about 1.1 million BTC. At $1 million per coin, that would amount to $1.1 trillion—making Nakamoto one of the richest entities in history.

However, latecomers may face a different reality. With fewer opportunities for high returns, new investors could end up buying near the peak. If Bitcoin’s price stalls or collapses, those who bought late might suffer heavy losses. Critics argue that Bitcoin’s growth resembles a pyramid structure, where early participants benefit the most as new money enters the system.

A Fragile Dream? The Quantum Computing Threat

Even if Bitcoin hits $1 million, it faces existential threats—particularly from quantum computing. Emerging quantum technology could break the cryptographic foundations of Bitcoin, especially those based on elliptic curve cryptography.

Roughly 4 million BTC (around 25% of the supply) sits in addresses with exposed public keys, making them vulnerable to quantum attacks. A successful attack could cause global financial chaos, potentially triggering a recession if Bitcoin is widely adopted at the time.

Although researchers at the National Institute of Standards and Technology are developing quantum-resistant algorithms, implementing these across the Bitcoin network would be a massive challenge. Some experts estimate that a full transition could require up to 76 days of network downtime.

The Verdict

Bitcoin’s path to $1 million is not guaranteed but no longer seems implausible. With a limited supply, increasing institutional interest, and growing global adoption, the cryptocurrency has the momentum it needs. Still, its future hinges on regulatory clarity, technological scalability, and resilience against emerging threats. Whether it becomes a transformative store of value or a financial mirage, only time will tell.

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Ethereum is stepping into the institutional spotlight, as U.S. spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) record historic inflows, significantly outperforming Bitcoin funds in recent weeks. On July 24 alone, Ethereum ETFs attracted $231.23 million in net inflows, marking the 15th consecutive day of gains and the highest ever daily total for the asset.

Ethereum ETF flows. | Source: SoSoValue.

Ethereum ETF flows. | Source: SoSoValue.

So far, July 2025 has become the strongest month in Ethereum ETF history, with total net inflows reaching $4.67 billion. This figure more than doubles its previous monthly record of $2.08 billion from December 2024. With eleven straight weeks of inflows now totalling $6.6 billion, Ethereum ETFs are showing unprecedented momentum and growing appeal among institutional investors.

Bitcoin ETFs Lose Momentum Despite Strong Month

While Ethereum ETFs shine, Bitcoin ETFs are facing a more turbulent month. Despite pulling in $226.61 million on July 24, Bitcoin funds experienced a three-day outflow streak earlier in the month, amounting to $283 million in total withdrawals. Weekly flows for Bitcoin ETFs currently sit at a net outflow of $58.64 million.

Bitcoin ETF flows, | Source: SoSoValue.

Bitcoin ETF flows, | Source: SoSoValue.

Still, the overall picture remains positive for Bitcoin, with July ranking as the third-best performing month on record. BTC ETFs have brought in $5.2 billion in net inflows so far this month. Since their launch in January 2024, these funds now hold assets equivalent to 6.54% of the total Bitcoin market cap. Analysts estimate that approximately 30% of Bitcoin’s current price growth can be directly attributed to ETF-driven accumulation.

Why Ethereum is Gaining Ground

Ethereum’s sudden rise in ETF demand marks a shift in institutional strategy. After a year of relative underperformance, ETH is now seen as a strong long-term play, particularly for funds diversifying beyond Bitcoin. This renewed confidence is reflected in the record-breaking eleven-week inflow streak, surpassing Bitcoin’s previous best of seven weeks.

The Ethereum network’s evolving fundamentals, such as its transition to proof-of-stake and increasing real-world utility in decentralised finance and enterprise applications may be contributing to its appeal. Institutional investors are likely seeing Ethereum not just as a Bitcoin alternative, but as a fundamentally distinct and potentially more versatile asset.

Market Implications and Investor Outlook

The surge in Ethereum ETF inflows signals growing confidence in altcoins and diversification beyond Bitcoin. While Bitcoin ETFs remain dominant in overall size and impact, Ethereum’s recent performance suggests it may begin to challenge BTC’s market leadership within institutional portfolios.

With ETH ETFs gaining traction and momentum continuing, many analysts believe this could set the stage for a broader altcoin rally, as confidence returns to alternative digital assets. The next few weeks will be crucial in determining whether Ethereum can sustain its pace and potentially narrow the performance gap with Bitcoin in the ETF landscape.

In summary, while Bitcoin ETFs still hold the lion’s share of market cap influence, Ethereum’s resurgence reflects a changing tide in institutional crypto investment, one that could redefine the asset hierarchy in the months ahead.

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Galaxy Digital

Bitcoin has come under renewed pressure in July, slipping back to the $115,000 range after peaking near recent highs. The drop comes amid a major sell-off linked to Galaxy Digital, as well as unusual activity from long-dormant Bitcoin wallets, some untouched for over a decade. While the fundamentals for Bitcoin remain strong, the sudden reactivation of old supply has shaken market confidence and introduced short-term uncertainty.

Galaxy Digital Sparks Market Jitters

One of the major triggers for Bitcoin’s recent slide is linked to Galaxy Digital, a crypto financial firm led by Mike Novogratz. Over a multi-day period, the company offloaded significant Bitcoin holdings, resulting in visible market impact.

Source: Lookonchain

Source: Lookonchain

According to blockchain analytics platform Lookonchain, Galaxy Digital deposited 2,850 BTC (worth around $330 million) to exchanges early on Friday alone. In total, more than 12,800 BTC (valued at $1.5 billion) was moved to exchanges within just 24 hours. This activity originated from a well-known Bitcoin whale address, which held 80,009 BTC, worth about $9.6 billion prior to the sell-off.

Source: Lookonchain

Source: Lookonchain

Transfers from this legendary wallet began on July 15 and were completed by July 18. On one of those days, more than 40,000 BTC was moved in a single transaction, shaking trader confidence and causing Bitcoin prices to dip further.

Although this heavy sell pressure initially caused sharp market reactions, some analysts believe the worst of the selling may now be over. Market watchers are now closely monitoring whether the market can stabilise or if more downside remains.

Dormant Bitcoin Wallets Wake After Years

In addition to Galaxy Digital’s moves, July has seen a wave of activity from Bitcoin wallets that have been inactive for year, even over a decade. This rare phenomenon has raised fears of further large sell-offs.

One standout case involves three wallets likely linked to the same owner, which moved a combined 10,606 BTC (worth around $1.26 billion). These wallets originally received their Bitcoin in December 2020, when BTC was priced at $18,803. At current prices, that’s a 6.3x gain, fuelling speculation that these holders may be preparing to take profits.

Source: Lookonchain

Source: Lookonchain

In another extraordinary case, a wallet that had been dormant for 14.5 years suddenly transferred 3,962 BTC (worth $468 million) this week. That wallet received its Bitcoin in January 2011, when the price was just $0.37 per coin making it one of the oldest reactivations ever recorded.

Source: Lookonchain

Source: Lookonchain

Earlier in July, yet another whale wallet moved 6,000 BTC ($649 million) after lying idle for six years. These moves suggest that long-term holders may be repositioning their assets, possibly anticipating further volatility or seeking to capitalise on high valuations.

Market Sentiment Turns Cautious

With Galaxy Digital’s offloading and dormant wallets stirring, trader sentiment has grown more cautious. Community discussions on X (formerly Twitter) are filled with speculation, particularly around the idea that Satoshi-era wallets (early Bitcoin adopters) may be preparing to sell during the next market rally.

Although the overall health of the Bitcoin network remains strong with mining activity, hash rate, and institutional interest all stable, the market appears to be entering a short-term phase of consolidation. Many traders are now focused on monitoring volatility, watching closely to determine whether selling pressure is finally easing.

Altcoin Season on the Horizon?

While Bitcoin struggles to regain momentum, altcoin traders are showing early signs of rotating capital into smaller cryptocurrencies. This shift is supported by a decline in Bitcoin’s dominance, which measures BTC’s share of the overall crypto market. The dominance metric fell from 64% to 60% between July 17 and July 21 before making a slight recovery to 61.55% by Friday.

Bitcoin Dominance. Source: TradingView

Bitcoin Dominance. Source: TradingView

A declining dominance is one of the earliest indicators of an approaching altcoin season, where capital flows into altcoins, leading to faster gains in smaller assets. The Altcoin Season Index currently sits at 43, indicating that the crypto market is not yet in a full altseason. However, the rising trend suggests momentum may be building.

Altcoin Season Index. Source: Blockchain Center

Altcoin Season Index. Source: Blockchain Center

Investors and analysts alike will be watching closely in the coming days to see if this trend continues. If Bitcoin stabilises and altcoins maintain their momentum, July’s volatility could mark the beginning of a broader shift in crypto market dynamics.

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