Investment firm VanEck has made a striking prediction that Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $2.9 million per coin by 2050. According to a report released on 24 July, this potential surge would push Bitcoin’s total market capitalization to an impressive $61 trillion.
Bitcoin’s Expanding Role in Global Trade
VanEck anticipates that Bitcoin could become a major player in international finance, potentially settling 10% of global trade and 5% of domestic transactions by 2050. This shift could result in central banks holding about 2.5% of their assets in Bitcoin, reflecting its growing acceptance as a reserve currency.
Impact of Layer-2 Solutions on Bitcoin’s Market Value
The report also highlights the critical role of Bitcoin Layer-2 solutions, such as the Lightning Network and Stacks, which could collectively add around $7.6 trillion to Bitcoin’s market value. These technologies are expected to resolve existing scalability issues and facilitate wider adoption of Bitcoin in financial systems.
Challenges and Risks to Bitcoin’s Adoption
VanEck’s optimistic scenario is based on a projected decline in the influence of major economies and their currencies, such as the Euro and Yen. As confidence in these fiat currencies wanes, Bitcoin may gain traction as a stable and immutable medium of exchange. However, the report acknowledges potential risks, including challenges related to mining, scalability, and regulatory hurdles that could impact Bitcoin’s growth trajectory.
While it is still too early to determine which Layer-2 solutions will dominate, VanEck identifies 16 promising projects that could play a significant role in Bitcoin’s future development.