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September Could Be a Hard Start for Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s performance at the start of September indicates a cautious market environment, with investors closely watching support and resistance levels for clearer trading signals

by V Sinclair
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Bitcoin commenced September on a downward trajectory, with both monthly and weekly closes showcasing lackluster performance. Trading close to the $57,000 mark, the BTC/USD pair analysis indicated minimal investor interest, dampening hopes for a bullish trend. Although the red status for Bitcoin returns this month is widely recognized, not all forecasts are overly pessimistic.

Critical Phase for Bitcoin

Bitcoin struggled at the last monthly close, maintaining an uncertain outlook. Data from TradingView reveals that bulls are finding it challenging to resist selling pressure. According to investor Skew, this is indicative of low timeframe market conditions:

“Throughout the past week, there was a notable spot buyer around $58,000, a significant indicator for a bullish context. Currently, the price is near spot demand, but buyer confirmation is essential.”

Skew also pointed out the general lack of interest in the derivatives markets at current price levels, suggesting that funding rates might stay negative or low:

“Following last week’s spot sales, the market seems inclined towards short positions as a hedge. However, post the $58,000 sale, market positioning has remained static, indicating a withdrawal from trading activities.”

Data from the crypto data analysis platform CoinGlass shows that as of September 2, significant bid support is concentrated around $56,750.

Details on Market Sentiment

Other market participants foresee a potential dip towards local lows before any bullish recovery, with predictions ranging from $56,000 to $54,000. Analyst Madara commented:

“It seems they might push the price to $56,000 and sweep the lows on Tuesday before rebounding. A volatile phase could be in the cards, potentially dropping to $49,000 as seen on August 5. If a rise occurs post $56,000, my target is $60,500 initially, followed by $65,000.”

Inferences from Recent Trends

Based on the analysis, investors can draw the following conclusions:

  • Monitoring the $56,750 support level is crucial for anticipating market moves.
  • Short positions might be a preferred strategy given the current market conditions.
  • Expect potential volatility with significant price dips before any substantial recovery.
  • Key resistance levels to watch are $60,500 and $65,000 in the event of a rebound.

In conclusion, Bitcoin’s performance at the start of September indicates a cautious market environment, with investors closely watching support and resistance levels for clearer trading signals. The overall sentiment remains one of uncertainty, with mixed predictions about the near-term direction of Bitcoin’s price.

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